UEFA Nations League Predictions - 12 November 2026

Simon Lewis

Editor

Last updated: 1 hour ago

Simon Lewis 1 hour ago

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England look strong for a clean sheet win over Croatia.
It looks set for a tight clash between Italy and France.
Montenegro and Latvia to both find the back of the net.
Goals to flow between San Marino and Belarus.

England beat Croatia 7-0 back in October (Getty Images).

England have won three straight Nations League matches since losing 3-2 to Spain, including a remarkable 7-0 demolition of Croatia in Rijeka. Harry Kane and Bukayo Saka each scored twice that night while Jude Bellingham, Anthony Gordon and Morgan Rogers also joined the party. England have 14 goals in four group matches while Croatia have shipped 14 while losing three in a row.

An England win looks the obvious call, but the straight result doesn't offer much of a payout. With England keeping clean sheets in their last three matches a win to nil at 2.06 looks enticing.

Italy vs France

France are unbeaten after four Nations League fixtures: three victories and a 1-1 home draw with Italy. Their last outing was a 4-1 success against Belgium with Michael Olise scoring twice. Italy have recovered from an opening defeat to Belgium and beat Turkey 3-1 last time out, thanks to goals from Gianluca Scamacca, Riccardo Calafiori and Francesco Pio Esposito.

The reverse fixture finished 1-1 and three of France’s four group matches have produced fewer than three goals. Italy offer a sterner test than Belgium, so under 2.5 goals is a sensible option.

Montenegro vs Latvia

Montenegro have made an excellent start to Group C2, taking 10 points from their first four fixtures. They beat Cyprus, Armenia and Latvia before drawing 0-0 with Armenia. Vasilije Adzic scored both goals in the 2-1 away win over Latvia in October. Latvia have picked up just one point from four games but they have scored in each of their last two outings.

Montenegro are strong favourites but they have conceded in three of their four matches. With Latvia on the scoresheet in the previous meeting between the teams it feels right to back both teams to score again.

San Marino vs Belarus

San Marino have lost all four Nations League matches, scoring just once and conceding 16 goals. Belarus beat them 4-0 in October, with Artem Kontsevoy netting twice and Artem Shumanskiy and Max Ebong also scoring. Belarus followed that result with a 1-0 win over Finland and have now won two of their last three group games after an opening defeat and a draw.

The away win is understandably priced very short so given San Marino’s defensive record and the four-goal reverse meeting it makes more sense to back Belarus to score three or more goals in this clash.

Verdict

UEFA Nations League

I'm backing another England clean-sheet win over Croatia, two goals or less between Italy and France and two goals or more between San Marino and Belarus.

I'm also backing both teams to score between Montenegro and Latvia.

Belarus Goals

Over 2.5 Team Goals

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England Win

Win To Nil

@2,06 - 1 Unit

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Italy Goals

Under 2.5 Match Goals

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Montenegro Goals

Both Teams To Score

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Simon is a talented sports writer in South Africa with a strong focus on cricket having played first-team level for UCT, including playing at two Universities Weeks.

From a young age Simon was an avid reader of cricket magazines and books, and went on to be Editor of The Googly, CricketScene SA and SA Cricket, in addition to being a Features Writer on SA Sports Illustrated.

He has interviewed most of South Africa's premier cricketers and was the first writer to interview a teenaged Jacques Kallis.

Simon has also written about English and local football, rugby and cricket, in addition to major international tennis and golf stars and competitions.

You can follow more from Simon at Muckrack, X and LinkedIn.