Blues vs Brumbies Predictions - Value on the Brumbies in the handicap market

Ralph Staniforth

Editor

Last updated: 12 Jun 2024

Ralph Staniforth 12 Jun 2024

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Predictions for Blues vs Brumbies in Super Rugby semi-final on Friday
Blues have won their last 14 home games
Can the visitors cause a major upset at Eden Park?

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Brumbies can push Blues all the way in Auckland (Getty Images)

Blues vs Brumbies Preview

The Blues are favourites and I expect them over 80 minutes to come out on top. However, the Brumbies have a good forward pack and should stay in the game for a large period. My best bet isf or the visitors to lose by less than 11 points.

Blues vs Brumbies Preview
Head to Head
Blues Form
Blues Injuries & Team News
Brumbies Form
Brumbies Injuries & Team News

Blues have won 8 of their last 9 matches.
Blues have won 7 of their last 9 matches against the Brumbies.
Blues have won their last 14 matches at Eden Park.
Brumbies have won their last 7 matches.

Head to Head

The Blues have been victorious in seven of their last nine fixtures against the Brumbies. Earlier this season, the Blues thrashed the Brumbies 46-7 in Auckland.

Blues Form

The Blues have been superb this season, finishing second on the table with 12 wins from 14 matches. The top three had the exact same win/loss ratio with bonus points, the only thing separating them.

The only two defeats the Blues suffered were away to the Hurricanes and the Crusaders. At home they have been in perfect form, winning their last eight.

Last week, on home soil in the quarter-final against Fijian Drua, the Blues were far too good, winning the game 36-5. It was as comprehensive a quarter-final win as there can be.

Blues Injuries & Team News

Blues captain, Patrick Tuipulotu will miss this game and the final, should the Blues progress. Sam Darry returns to the side at lock after missing last week due to concussion.

Dalton Papili’i takes over the captaincy with the rest of the side unchanged.

Brumbies Form

The Brumbies have had a superb season as well, winning 12 of their 14 league games. However, concerning for them will be that their two defeats came away to the Hurricanes and Blues and both were by a heavy margin.

The 46-7 defeat to the Blues in Auckland earlier this season will worry supporters, although the Canberra-based outfit were not at full strength. They should be far better in this semi-final.

Since that loss to the Blues, the Brumbies have won seven on the bounce. That includes last week’s 32-16 home win in the semi-final against the Highlanders.

Brumbies Injuries & Team News

The Brumbies have opted for a 6/2 bench split this weekend. Experienced prop, James Slipper returns to the side while Rory Scott also gets a start at flank.

Verdict

Blues v Brumbies

The Brumbies are backed to get within 11 points of the Blues at Eden Park.

Brumbies +11

Handicap

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Ralph is from South Africa and studied Sports Science post school at ETA (Education Teachers Academy) in Cape Town.

He has always had a great passion for sport and this led him into the world of sports journalism, while coaching on the side. Since 2012 Ralph has worked as a journalist and covered many topics from business to sport.

Over the last seven years he has interviewed numerous top rugby and cricket players and coaches in South Africa.

Ralph has been betting on sports for the last ten years. He’s knowledgeable on numerous topics including football, rugby, cricket, tennis and golf.

He supports Manchester United (football), Cheetahs (rugby), Knights (cricket) and has a newly found appreciation for Dominic Thiem on the tennis courts.