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Western Force vs Brumbies Predictions - Brumbies to cover against Force in Super Rugby

ralph-staniforth
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Last updated: 2 hours ago

The Western Force face a challenging matchup against the Brumbies at HBF Park, where their record against the visitors has been less than favorable. With only one win in their last nine home games against the Brumbies, the Force will need to overcome historical hurdles. The Brumbies, finishing third in the 2025 Super Rugby, are determined to start strong and secure a home playoff advantage. Backed by their solid away performance and recent successes over Australian teams, the Brumbies are anticipated to win, covering the -1.5 point spread.

Ralph Staniforth 2 hours ago
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  • Western Force struggles against Brumbies at HBF Park; only one recent win.
  • Brumbies, Australia's top side, finished third in 2025 Super Rugby.
  • Brumbies expected to win, covering -1.5 point spread.
Brumbies 2025 Super Rugby
Brumbies to dominate in Perth (Getty Images)

Western Force vs Brumbies Predictions


HBF Park has been a happy hunting ground for the Western Force, but their record against the Brumbies there is atrocious. I am backing the Brumbies to get over the line, covering the -1.5 handicap at even money.

  • Western Force have lost 7 of their last 8 matches against the Brumbies at HBF Park.
  • Brumbies have won their last 3 round robin away Super Rugby matches.
  • Brumbies have won their last 4 Super Rugby matches against Australian opposition. 

Head to Head


Brumbies lead 7-1 in their last eight matches against the Western Force at HBF Park. While the Force did beat the Brumbies in 2025, that match was away from home in Canberra.

Western Force Form


The Western Force only managed four wins, a draw and nine losses in their 14th place Super Rugby finish in 2025. They ended ninth on the table, not their worst campaign either and they also achieved a few notable results.

At home, the Force were definitely a side worth respecting last season. Even in defeat at home, they were very competitive throughout.

Historically though, despite their decent home record, the Force have only managed one home win against the Brumbies in their last nine away encounters.

Brumbies Form


The Brumbies were once again the top Australian side in Super Rugby in 2025. It has become the norm for the Canberra side to be the only Aussies showing a real challenge to their New Zealand counterparts.

A third-place finish for the Brumbies, marked with nine wins and five losses, saw them progress to the semi-final once again. Unfortunately, the Aussie outfit cannot seem to get over the line at the business end of the tournament – a tale that has been told many times in recent years.

A strong start will be crucial to the Brumbies if they are to challenge for the Super Rugby title. They must simply get a top two finish to secure home playoff games.

Western Force vs Brumbies Lineups


Western Force: 15 Mac Grealy, 14 Divad Palu, 13 George Bridge, 12 Hamish Stewart, 11 Bayley Kuenzle, 10 Ben Donaldson, 9 Nathan Hastie, 8 Nick Champion de Crespigny, 7 Carlo Tizzano, 6 Vaiolini Ekuasi, 5 Franco Molina, 4 Jeremy Williams (captain), 3 Harry Johnson-Holmes, 2 Brandon Paenga-Amosa, 1 Tom Robertson,

Replacements: 16 Leonel Oviedo, 17 Sef Fa’agase, 18 Misinale Epenisa, 19 Darcy Swain, 20 Will Harris, 21 Henry Robertson, 22 Max Burey, 23 Kurtley Beale

Brumbies: 15 Andy Muirhead, 14 Ollie Sapsford, 13 Kadin Pritchard, 12 David Feliuai, 11 Corey Toole, 10 Corey Toole, 9 Ryan Lonergan (captain), 8 Charlie Cale, 7 Rory Scott, 6 Rob Valetini, 5 Cadeyrn Neville, 4 Lachie Shaw, 3 Rhys van Nek, 2 Billy Pillord, 1 James Slipper.

Replacements: 16 Liam Bowron, 17 Blake Schoupp, 18 Tevita Alatini, 19 Toby Macpherson, 20 Luke Reimer, 21 Klayton Thorn, 22 Tane Edmed, 23 Hudson Creighton

Verdict

The Brumbies have long been Australia's best side. I am backing them to start the season with yet another win at HBF Park against the Western Force.

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