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Blues vs Chiefs Predictions - Blues can upset the odds at Eden Park in Super Rugby clash against Chiefs

ralph-staniforth
Ralph Staniforth
Editor
Last updated: 13 Feb 2026

In a highly anticipated Super Rugby clash, the Chiefs are favored to win against the Blues in Auckland, holding a -4.5 handicap. Despite the Chiefs' recent superiority, having won three of their last four matches against the Blues, the Auckland side's end-of-season form in 2025 and solid pre-season achievements suggest a closer contest. The Blues, who finished sixth last season, showed resilience by climbing the rankings towards the end. With both teams having strong lineups, the Blues are predicted to challenge the Chiefs' dominance, possibly even securing a win within the handicap at Eden Park.

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Ralph Staniforth 13 Feb 2026
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  • Chiefs favorites with -4.5 handicap, despite Blues' strong preseason.
  • Blues finished 2025 season strong, winning 3 of last 4 matches.
  • Chiefs have won 3 of the last 4 encounters vs Blues.
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Blues Super Rugby 2025
Blues bacekd to win at Eden Park (Getty Images)

Blues vs Chiefs Predictions


The Chiefs are favourites to win in Auckland with a -4.5 handicap. Those odds look short for me given the Blues impressive end in 2025 and their decent pre-season form. I am backing the hosts get within that handicap and perhaps win.

  • Blues have won 3 of their last 4 Super Rugby matches.
  • Chiefs were the Super Rugby runners-up in 2025.
  • Chiefs have won 3 of their last 4 matches against the Blues.

Head to Head


Chiefs have beaten the Blues in three of their last four Super Rugby encounters.

Blues Form


The Blues finished sixth in the 2025 Super Rugby tournament, a rather disappointing campaign for them. They won six and lost eight of their 14 matches along the way.

After a slow start in 2025, the Auckland outfit did recover to climb the table, winning three of their last four games in the regular season. 

Chiefs Form


The Chiefs topped the 2025 Super Rugby table after the round robin stage but unfortunately suffered defeat in their first playoff games. Fortunately, because they were top, it wasn’t a knockout fixture, but it did mean they had to play the final away to the Crusaders.

That turned out to be a crucial result as the Chiefs lost 16-14 in the final to the Crusaders. This season, the Chiefs are favourites for the crown, but they face a very tough opening fixture in Auckland.

Blues vs Chiefs Lineups


Blues: 15 Zarn Sullivan, 14 Cole Forbes, 13 AJ Lam, 12 Pita Akhi, 11 Caleb Clarke, 10 Stephen Perofeta, 9 Finlay Christie, 8 Hoskins Sotutu, 7 Dalton Papali’i (captain), 6 Torian Barnes, 5 Josh Beehre, 4 Sam Darry, 3 Ofa Tu’ungafasi, 2 Bradley Slater, 1 Joshua Fusitu’a.

Replacements: 16 James Mullan, 17 Mason Tupaea, 18 Marcel Renata, 19 Laghlan McWhannell, 20 Anton Segner, 21 Sam Nock, 22 Xavi Taele, 23 Codemeru Vai.

Chiefs: 15 Etene Nanai-Seturo, 14 Kyren Taumoefolau, 13 Daniel Rona, 12 Quinn Tupaea, 11 Liam Coombes-Fabling, 10 Josh Jacomb, 9 Xavier Roe, 8 Luke Jacobson (captain), 7 Jahrome Brown, 6 Kaylum Boshier, 5 Tupou Vaa’i, 4 Josh Lord, 3 George Dyer, 2 Samisoni Taukei’aho, 1 Jared Proffit.

Replacements: 16 Tyrone Thompson, 17 Benet Kumeroa, 18 Reuben O’Neill, 19 Seuseu Naitoa Ah Kuoi, 20 Samipeni Finau, 21 Cortez Ratima, 22 Tepaea Cook-Savage, 23 Kyle Brown

Verdict

Blues are backed to get within +4.5 handicap with a possible win at Eden Park.

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