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Blues vs Chiefs Predictions - Blues can upset the odds at Eden Park in Super Rugby clash against Chiefs

Ralph Staniforth

Editor

Last updated: 13 Feb 2026

Ralph Staniforth 13 Feb 2026

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Chiefs favorites with -4.5 handicap, despite Blues' strong preseason.
Blues finished 2025 season strong, winning 3 of last 4 matches.
Chiefs have won 3 of the last 4 encounters vs Blues.

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Blues bacekd to win at Eden Park (Getty Images)

Blues vs Chiefs Predictions

The Chiefs are favourites to win in Auckland with a -4.5 handicap. Those odds look short for me given the Blues impressive end in 2025 and their decent pre-season form. I am backing the hosts get within that handicap and perhaps win.

Blues vs Chiefs Predictions
Head to Head
Blues Form
Chiefs Form
Blues vs Chiefs Lineups

Blues have won 3 of their last 4 Super Rugby matches.
Chiefs were the Super Rugby runners-up in 2025.
Chiefs have won 3 of their last 4 matches against the Blues.

Head to Head

Chiefs have beaten the Blues in three of their last four Super Rugby encounters.

Blues Form

The Blues finished sixth in the 2025 Super Rugby tournament, a rather disappointing campaign for them. They won six and lost eight of their 14 matches along the way.

After a slow start in 2025, the Auckland outfit did recover to climb the table, winning three of their last four games in the regular season.

Chiefs Form

The Chiefs topped the 2025 Super Rugby table after the round robin stage but unfortunately suffered defeat in their first playoff games. Fortunately, because they were top, it wasn’t a knockout fixture, but it did mean they had to play the final away to the Crusaders.

That turned out to be a crucial result as the Chiefs lost 16-14 in the final to the Crusaders. This season, the Chiefs are favourites for the crown, but they face a very tough opening fixture in Auckland.

Blues vs Chiefs Lineups

Blues: 15 Zarn Sullivan, 14 Cole Forbes, 13 AJ Lam, 12 Pita Akhi, 11 Caleb Clarke, 10 Stephen Perofeta, 9 Finlay Christie, 8 Hoskins Sotutu, 7 Dalton Papali’i (captain), 6 Torian Barnes, 5 Josh Beehre, 4 Sam Darry, 3 Ofa Tu’ungafasi, 2 Bradley Slater, 1 Joshua Fusitu’a.

Replacements: 16 James Mullan, 17 Mason Tupaea, 18 Marcel Renata, 19 Laghlan McWhannell, 20 Anton Segner, 21 Sam Nock, 22 Xavi Taele, 23 Codemeru Vai.

Chiefs: 15 Etene Nanai-Seturo, 14 Kyren Taumoefolau, 13 Daniel Rona, 12 Quinn Tupaea, 11 Liam Coombes-Fabling, 10 Josh Jacomb, 9 Xavier Roe, 8 Luke Jacobson (captain), 7 Jahrome Brown, 6 Kaylum Boshier, 5 Tupou Vaa’i, 4 Josh Lord, 3 George Dyer, 2 Samisoni Taukei’aho, 1 Jared Proffit.

Replacements: 16 Tyrone Thompson, 17 Benet Kumeroa, 18 Reuben O’Neill, 19 Seuseu Naitoa Ah Kuoi, 20 Samipeni Finau, 21 Cortez Ratima, 22 Tepaea Cook-Savage, 23 Kyle Brown

Verdict

Blues v Chiefs

Blues are backed to get within +4.5 handicap with a possible win at Eden Park.

Blues +4.5

Handicap

@1,91 - 5 Units

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Blues Win

Result

@3,10 - 1 Unit

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Ralph Staniforth is a South African sports journalist, editor and betting writer who has worked in sports media since 2012.

With a background in Sports Science, he has covered a wide range of sports and interviewed leading players and coaches across South African rugby, cricket and football.

His sports betting work covers both South African and international markets, combining his knowledge of sport with extensive experience analysing fixtures, teams, form and betting markets.

Ralph specialises in football and rugby, while also covering cricket, tennis and golf. His work includes match previews, betting tips, betting guides and broader analysis of the sports betting industry.

You can find more from Ralph at Muckrack and LinkedIn.