Montpellier vs Pau Predictions - Montpellier to register another home win over Pau
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- Montpellier have won 13 consecutive home games & are 2nd in Top 14.
- Pau have lost 6 of their last 7 away matches, sitting 3rd overall.
- Montpellier are expected to cover the -10.5 handicap vs Pau.
Montpellier are on a lengthy winning streak at home (Getty Images)
Montpellier vs Pau Predictions
Montpellier have been in fine form at home in the Top 14 this season and will aim to finish second in the standings to receive a bye into the semi-finals. Pau will also be pushing for the runner-up berth, but their away form is lacking.
- Montpellier have won 13 consecutive home games in all competitions.
- Montpellier have won 4 consecutive home matches against Pau.
- Pau have lost 6 of their last 7 away fixtures in all competitions.
Head to Head
Pau have a slight edge with 11 victories to ten against Montpellier in 21 meetings.
Montpellier Form
Montpellier Hérault secured their third EPCR Challenge Cup title last weekend, beating URC side Ulster 59-26 in the final after leading 26-12 at the break.
Montpellier have had an excellent run of form at home in the French Rugby Championship this season. They lost 27-17 to Toulon and defeated Toulouse 44-14, La Rochelle 37-13, Lyon 35-13, lost 9-7 to Clermont before beating Bordeaux 28-24, Castres 33-31, Bayonne 62-22, Stade Francais 44-7, Racing 92 41-17, Perpignan 42-31, and Montauban 59-7.
Les Cistes are 2nd in the Top 14 standings with 74 points from 24 matches.
Montpellier have been in great touch at home, winning 13 in a row, and they must beat Pau to maintain their play-off position on the log, as they are only one point ahead of Pau and Stade Francais with two rounds to go.
Pau Form
Pau came out on top in their recent home match against Clermont, winning 24-19 after leading 13-9 at half-time.
Section Paloise have achieved little success away from home in the French Rugby Championship this season. They defeated Castres 17-15, lost 50-27 to Clermont, 33-17 to Toulon, 15-10 to Racing 92, beat Bordeaux 34-33 and Montauban 53-17, lost to Lyon 22-17, 59-22 to Toulouse, 40-24 to Perpignan, and 20-6 to La Rochelle, and defeated Bayonne 54-22 before losing 34-32 to STade Francais.
La Section are 3rd in the Top 14 table with 73 points from 24 matches.
Pau will be out to beat Montpellier for a second time this season to have a chance of finishing second in the league to secure a semi-final spot in the play-offs. However, they have struggled to beat Montpellier away from home in recent seasons, losing four in a row.
Team News
Montpellier
Hugo Miotti has scored 240 points for Montpellier this season.
Cristopher Tolofua has scored eight tries in this edition of the Top 14.
Pau
Joe Simmonds has scored 133 points for his club in the French Rugby Championship this season.
Gregoire Arfeuil and Emilen Gailleton have scored eight tries each in the 2025/26 Top 14 season.
Verdict
Montpellier have had an excellent campaign at home this season and are tipped to cover the -10.5 handicap.
Montpellier -10.5
Handicap
@1.91 - 3 Units
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