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Montpellier vs Toulon Predictions - Montpellier to come out top against Toulon

Brad Newcomb

Editor

Last updated: 02 Oct 2026

Brad Newcomb 02 Oct 2026

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Montpellier have won 16 of their last 17 home games.
Toulon have lost 4 consecutive away matches.
Montpellier predicted to cover the -11.5 handicap.

Expired

Montpellier have often won at home recently (Getty Images)

Montpellier have lacked consistency in this season's Top 14 so far but play their best rugby on home soil. Toulon have made a poor start to their campaign and have struggled to win on the road recently.

Montpellier have won 5 of their last 8 fixtures.
Montpellier have won 16 of their last 17 home games.
Toulon have lost 6 of their last 8 fixtures.
Toulon have lost 4 consecutive away games.

Head to Head

Toulon have the advantage over Montpellier, with 21 victories to 16, including three draws in 40 meetings.

Montpellier Form

Montpellier Hérault scored a penalty and a try in the first half against Toulouse last weekend, going into the half-time break trailing 19-8.

Les Cistes added two tries to their tally in the second stanza, but had no answer against Toulouse, losing 40-18 away from home.

Before that, Montpellier lost 27-19 to Pau at home before beating Vannes 26-12 away and Perpignan 50-13 at home.

Les Cistes are seventh in the French Rugby Championship standings with nine points from four matches.

Montpellier Hérault have stuttered during their opening fixtures in the Top 14 this season, but they have been in impressive form at home recently, notching up 16 victories in their last 17 games.

Toulon Form

Toulon could only muster a single converted try in the first half against Vannes, going into the break trailing 10-7.

However, RC Toulon produced a solid second half against Vannes, scoring three converted tries to win 28-10 at home.

Earlier in their Top 14 campaign, Toulon lost 27-26 away to Bayonne, 21-20 to La Rochelle at home, and 29-27 to Castres away.

Les Rouge et Noir are 12th in the French Rugby Championship table with eight points after four rounds.

Toulon secured their first victory of the season in their previous Top 14 match, but will have to play well to get the better of Montpellier, as their opponents seldom lose when playing at home.

Team News

Montpellier

Jon Echegaray, Lyam Akrab, and Arthur Vincent scored a try each against Toulouse last weekend.

Adam Hastings kicked over a penalty in the match.

Toulon

Tomás Albornoz, David Ribbans, Gaël Fickou, and Junior Kpoku each crossed the try line against Vannes last weekend.

Melvyn Jaminet slotted three conversions in the match, while Tomás Albornoz kicked over one conversion.

Verdict

Montpellier v Toulon

Montpellier have made their home ground a fortress in recent seasons in the Top 14 and are tipped to cover the -11.5 handicap.

Montpellier -11.5

Handicap

@1,91 - 3 Units

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Brad graduated from the University of South Africa with a Bcom-Management Accounting degree and has a financial background.

His love of sport has seen him venture down the road of researching sporting history for the past several years, specifically boxing, cricket and football.

Other sports of particular interest are golf, tennis, horse racing and motorsports.

Additionally, he spends his time researching the military history of his home country of South Africa.

He is an ardent Liverpool supporter and is known to DJ and release music on occasion.