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Pau vs Castres Predictions - Pau to remain unbeaten at home in the Top 14 this season

brad-newcomb
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Last updated: 46 minutes ago

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Brad Newcomb 46 minutes ago
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  • Pau have won all their home games this Top 14 season.
  • Castres have lost 6 of their last 7 matches, including 4 straight away.
  • Prediction: Pau to cover the -13.5 handicap.
Pau
Pau have been in fine form at home in the Top 14 this season (Getty Images)

Pau vs Castres Predictions


Pau have been in fine form at home in this edition of the French Rugby Championship. Castres have been struggling to win lately and away from home. 

  • Pau have won all their home games in the Top 14 this season
  • Pau have won 2 of their last 3 home matches against Castres. 
  • Castres have lost 6 of their last 7 fixtures in all competitions.
  • Castres have lost 4 consecutive away matches in all competitions.

Head to Head


Castres have the advantage with 16 victories to eight over Pau in 24 meetings.

Pau won 17-15 away to Castres earlier this season. 

Pau Form 


Pau let a first-half lead slip in their recent match against Stade Francais, losing 34-32 away from home after leading 18-10 at the break. 

Pau have been in tremendous touch at home in the Top 14 this season. They defeated Stade Francais 34-10, Lyon 40-15, Bayonne 47-24, Toulouse 30-26, Perpignan 27-23, La Rochelle 53-33, Montpellier 35-33, Toulon 32-12, Bordeaux 39-17, and Racing 92 27-17. 

Pau are 2nd in the Top 14 table with 65 points from 22 games.

Pau will fancy their chances of victory against Castres, as they have been in excellent form at home during their league campaign, winning ten consecutive matches.

Castres Form 


Castres had no answer in the second half in their recent match against Lyon, losing 26-21 away from home after leading 15-5 at half-time. 

Castres have had little success away from home in the Top 14 this season. They lost 16-12 to Toulon, 59-12 to Toulouse, beat Montauban 32-28, lost 63-14 to Clermont, defeated La Rochelle 19-17, lost 33-31 to Montpellier, lost 33-15 to Stade Francais, and beat Bayonne 13-10 before losing 57-32 to Bordeaux and 52-21 to Racing 92.  

Castres are 10th in the Top 14 standings with 48 points from 22 matches. 

Castres must win to keep their chances of making the playoffs alive, but they have been out of sorts lately, losing six of their last seven games, including four in a row on the road. 

Team News


Pau

Argentine scrum-half Gonzalo García has joined Pau from Zebre Parma as a replacement for Dan Robson.

Axel Rigou has scored 174 points for his club in the league this season.

Gregoire Arfeuil has scored eight tries in this edition of the Top 14.

Castres 

Pierre Popelin has scored 91 points for Castres in the league so far. 

Christian Ambadiang and Théo Chabouni have scored six tries each in the 2025/26 Top 14 season.

Verdict

Pau have a proven track record at home in the Top 14 this season and are tipped to cover the -13.5 handicap.

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