Samoa vs Fiji Predictions - Fiji to cruise to Pacific Nations Cup victory

Simon Lewis

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Last updated: 05 Sep 2025

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Simon Lewis 05 Sep 2025

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Fiji have won their last five matches against Samoa.
Samoa have lost their last two games and are struggling with form.
Fiji are predicted to cover the -25.5 handicap due to superior recent performances.

Expired

Fiji have won their last 5 matches against Samoa. (Getty Images)

Samoa vs Fiji Predictions

This is usually a game many fans look forward to but unlike Fiji, Samoa have seemingly stagnated on the rugby front. I am backing Fiji to cover the -25.5 handicap.

Samoa vs Fiji Predictions
Head to Head
Samoa Form
Fiji Form

Samoa have lost their last 2 matches.
Fiji have won their last 5 matches against Samoa.
Fiji have won their last 2 matches.

Head to Head

Fiji have won their last five fixtures against Samoa.

Samoa Form

Samoa have not been in the best of form of late. Last year they made the Pacific Nations Cup semi-final where they suffered a 49-27 loss to Japan.

In July this year, Samoa lost 41-12 to an understrength Scotland side on home soil, so coming into the Pacific Nations Cup, they would have had hopes of improving.

However, the Samoans were outplayed in their opening fixture, losing 30-16 to Tonga. Tonga dominated much of the game with Samoa hardly ever really threatening the result.

Fiji Form

Fijian rugby is on the up on the international stage. They have been very competitive since prior to 2023 and even progressed to the quarter-final at the 2023 Rugby World Cup.

Since Fijian Drua joined Super Rugby, the flying Fijians have competed extremely well. This year they defeated Scotland 29-14 in July and narrowly lost 21-18 to Australia.

Last weekend, in their opening Pacific Nations clash, Fiji comfortably beat Tonga 32-10. They hardly had to break a sweat and also played without several first-choice players.

Verdict

Fiji v Samoa

Fiji shouldn’t have any problems seeing off this Samoan side. I’m backing them to win by more than 25.5 points.

Fiji -25.5

Handicap

@1,91 - 3 Units

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