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Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows Predictions - Brazilians to shoot down Arrows in MTN8
Mamelodi Sundowns are heavily favored to win against Golden Arrows in the first leg, with predictions citing their dominant head-to-head record and recent form. Sundowns have won 15 of their last 20 PSL matches and have a strong home advantage, having beaten Arrows in their last seven home encounters. While Sundowns face several injuries, Golden Arrows also lost key players in the transfer window. The main recommendation is to back Sundowns to win, with both teams likely to score (BTTS).
- Sundowns are favoured to win due to a very strong head-to-head vs Arrows.
- Predicted: Both teams will score, but Sundowns beat the -1 handicap in a victory.
- Sundowns' key injuries are in defence, while Arrows lost two top players in the transfer window.
Expired
Mamelodi Sundowns to beat Golden Arrows on Sunday afternoon (Getty Images).
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows Predictions
Sundowns are backed to win this first leg with a goal conceded. I’m tipping them to beat the -1 handicap due to their outstanding record vs these opponents.
Key Stats – Sundowns Backed for Victory
- Mamelodi Sundowns have won 15 of their last 20 PSL matches.
- Mamelodi Sundowns have seen BTTS Yes in 10 of their last 13 matches.
- Golden Arrows have lost their last 7 away matches vs Mamelodi Sundowns.
- Golden Arrows have conceded 26 goals in their last 7 away matches vs Mamelodi Sundowns.
Head to Head – Downs Hold Advantage
Sundowns hold a 29-10 advantage over Arrows across 51 previous meetings with 12 draws.
Sundowns won 2-1 when the clubs last met in March 2026.
Sundowns Form – Three Wins in Four Matches This Season
Sundowns won the CAF Champions League last season but failed to lift any domestic silverware. This season has begun with three wins and a draw in four matches.
The 2026-27 season started with a 3-2 win over Polokwane City in the MTN8. They won 3-2 in the PSL at TS Galaxy before rescuing a late point in a 1-1 draw at Kaizer Chiefs after trailing 1-0.
In midweek, a strong performance brought a 2-0 home win over Marumo Gallants.
Just One Loss in 14 – Arrows Unbeaten in Nine Matches
Arrows finished sixth last season in the PSL. This term, it’s three draws and a win in four matches and they’ve lost once in the last 14 fixtures.
They drew 0-0 with TS Galaxy on the final day of last season. This campaign began with a 0-0 home draw vs Chippa United in the PSL before beating Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 in the MTN8.
Arrows drew 0-0 at Durban City as they were outshot 25-8. They made it seven straight clean sheets last weekend as they drew 0-0 away to TS Galaxy.
Predicted Lineups & Team News
Mamelodi Sundowns (4-2-3-1): Goss; Mdunyelwa, Johannes, Khoza, Basadien; Aubaas, Allende; Ndlovu, B. Mokoena, Matthews; Leon.
Sundowns are without injured playmaker Arthur Sales and winger Monnapule Saleng. Keanu Cupido and Khulumani Ndamane remain injured in defence.
Teboho Mokoena may sit out once again and Nuno Santos is set to play no part. Key right back Khuliso Mudau is out for six months after an Achilles rupture.
Golden Arrows (4-3-3): Maova; Shezi, Jiyane, Mabaso, Cele; Dlamini, Zwane, Maxwele; Kumalo, Dion, Van Nel.
Arrows sold two key men in this transfer window. Winger Siyanda Ndlovu and midfielder Isaac Cisse departed the club.
Arrows have a very settled XI. The only real selection decision is whether Nhlanhla Gasa or Philani Kumalo is selected on the right wing.
Verdict
I'm backing BTTS Yes in a Sundowns win. I see Sundowns beating the -1 handicap.
Sundowns Win (-1 goal)
Handicap
@2,40 - 3 Units
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