Barcelona vs Inter Milan Predictions - Barca to take a first leg lead

Ralph Staniforth

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Last updated: 29 Apr 2025

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Ralph Staniforth 29 Apr 2025

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Barcelona has scored 21 goals in 6 Champions League home games.
Inter Milan is struggling with three consecutive losses, impacting their form.
Ferran Torres is a key player for Barcelona with crucial recent performances.

Barcelona have won 5 of their last 6 home games against Inter (Getty)

Barcelona vs Inter Milan Predictions

Inter Milan have had a strong season but have started to struggle recently. This will be a huge test for the Italian giants, but given Barca's goal scoring threat at home, I am backing them to win.

Barcelona have won 11 of their last 14 matches.
Barcelona have won by 2+ goals in 5 of their last 6 home matches (Champions League).
Barcelona’s Ferran Torres has scored 2 goals in his last 3 matches.
Barcelona have won 5 of their last 6 home matches against Inter Milan.
Inter Milan have lost to nil in their last 3 matches.

Head to Head

These sides have drawn five times in 16 matches. Barcelona have eight wins and Inter three.

Barcelona Form

Barcelona have won 11 of their last 14 matches and are scoring a lot of goals. They got past Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League quarter-finals, a 4-0 victory in Spain followed by a 3-1 defeat in Germany.

Hansi Flick’s side have played their last two La Liga games at home, beating Celta Vigo 4-3 after finding themselves 3-1 down in the second half. They had 78% possession and 40-4 shots in a 1-0 win against Mallorca, Dani Olmo’s goal the difference.

The Catalans did it the hard way in the Copa del Rey final on Saturday. Pedri put them ahead but they were 2-1 down with 10 minutes remaining, Ferran Torres’ late strike taking it to extra time where Jules Koundé found the net to earn a 3-2 victory.

Inter Milan Form

Inter Milan were on fire this season but the wheels have fallen off since they got past Bayern Munich 4-3 on aggregate in the quarter-finals. They have lost three straight games and severely dented their treble aspirations.

Simone Inzaghi’s side lost 1-0 at Bologna which allowed Napoli to join them at the top of Serie A. Inter had drawn 1-1 against AC Milan in the Coppa Italia semi-final first leg and slumped to a 3-0 second leg defeat at San Siro.

Inter lost 1-0 against Roma on Sunday and can have no complaints after ending with 1.10-2.80 expected goals. The result saw Napoli take a three point lead in the title race.

Verdict

Barcelona v Inter Milan

Inter Milan have lost three straight without scoring, their slump coming at an inconvenient point of the season. Barcelona have scored 3+ goals in five Champions League home wins and should be too good in Spain.

Barcelona Win

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