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UEFA Nations League predictions - 3 October 2026, Round 3

Simon Lewis

Editor

Last updated: 02 Oct 2026

Simon Lewis 02 Oct 2026

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Albania to complete three wins on the bounce.
Goals to be scarce between Estonia and Luxembourg.
Croatia and England to entertain with goals.
Scotland to score two-plus goals against North Macedonia.

Expired

Estonia have drawn both of their opening matches (Getty Images).

Finland vs Albania

Finland have two wins, a draw and two defeats from their last five matches, while Albania have won two and lost three of their last five outings.

Albania have opened the Nations League particularly well by winning both their opening matches and scoring five goals without conceding, so they’re a solid option to back for a win with a decent payout.

Estonia vs Luxembourg

Estonia are unbeaten in their opening two Nations League games but have drawn both, while Luxembourg have one win and one defeat from their openers.

Both sides have been involved in relatively low-scoring matches but Estonia remain without a Nations League victory this campaign. This looks like a low-scoring clash.

Croatia vs England

Both teams have three wins and two defeats from their last five, but England have scored 13 goals in that spell compared with Croatia’s seven. They have both won one and lost one in this year’s Nations League, both losing to world champions Spain and beating the Czech Republic.

Both side kept just one clean sheet in their last five matches, with England’s coming in their last match against the Czechs in their 2-0 win. Both sides have plenty of goals in them, so I’m calling this a match with four goals or more.

North Macedonia vs Scotland

North Macedonia have lost both Nations League matches and have gone six games without either a win or a goal, losing four times. Scotland have taken just one point from two games and have also struggled to score, with their last goal coming five matches ago against Haiti in their 1-0 win in the World Cup.

Scotland are strongly backed by the bookies to take the win, and although they have been goalless in six of their last 10 matches, they scored 13 in their other four matches. They can be potent when they hit the right gears, so I’m backing them to tear into North Macedonia.

Verdict

UEFA Nations League

I’m backing wins for Albania, while it looks a solid option to back under three goals between Estonia and Luxembourg and over three goals between Croatia and England, while Scotland are back to notch at least two goals against North Macedonia.

Estonia Goals

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Scotland Goals

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Albania Win

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