Scarlets vs Dragons Predictions - Scarlets to edge Dragons at home in URC encounter

Nigel Williams

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Last updated: 16 May 2026

Nigel Williams 16 May 2026

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Scarlets have better recent head-to-head record vs Dragons.
Scarlets tipped to cover the -6.5 handicap at home.
Both teams are tied on points and eager to avoid last place among Welsh clubs.

Expired

Scarlets to edge Dragons at home in URC encounter (Getty Images)

Scarlets vs Dragons Predictions

Scarlets are favourites at home, based on their stronger recent record against the Dragons. My best bet is Scarlets to cover the -6.5 handicap at home.

Scarlets vs Dragons Predictions
Head to Head
Scarlets Form
Scarlets Injuries & Team News
Dragons Form
Dragons Injuries & Team News

Scarlets have won 2 of their last 5 home matches.
Scarlets have won 5 of the 9 matches against Dragons.
Dragons have lost 2 their last 5 away matches.
Dragons lost 24-15 to Edinburgh in their last match.

Head to Head

Scarlets have won five of the last nine encounters against the Dragons.

Scarlets Form

Scarlets pushed the Bulls close at home for much of the match, before losing 23-21 to a late Pollard penalty

Scarlets have had a mixed run of form at home this season. They lost to Pau (47-38), defeated Ulster (27-22) and Zebre (36-17), before losing to Cardiff Rugby (28-24).

Scarlets are 14th in the United Rugby Championship, with 25 points from 17 matches.

This is the final league game, and Scarlets need to win against their Welsh rivals to avoid finishing as the lowest-ranked Welsh side.

Scarlets Injuries & Team News

Starting XV:

1 J Morse, 2 R Elias, 3 A Holz, 4 J Price, 5 M Douglas, 6 J Taylor, 7 J MacLeod, 8 T Plumtree, 9 D Blacker, 10 J Hawkins, 11 B Murray, 12 J Roberts, 13 M Page, 14 T Rogers, 15 I Jones.

Replacements:

16 H Thomas, 17 S O'Connor, 18 H O'Connor 19 O Williams 20 D Davis, 21 G Davies, 22 C Leggatt-Jones, 23 J Davies.

Dragons Form

The Dragons were denied a few scoring opportunities against Edinburgh at Rodney Parade last weekend, eventually losing 24-15 after trailing 15-10 at half-time.

Dragons have been inconsistent on the road this season.They lost to the Stormers (29-21) and the Lions (42-26), before beating Stade Francais (36-31) and Zebre (19-18), then losing to Montpellier (18-12).

Dragons are 15th in the United Rugby Championship, with 25 points from 17 matches.

Dragons Injuries & Team News

Starting XV:

1 W Jones, 2 B Coghlan, 3 D Lewis, 4 S Davies, 5 B Carter, 6 R Woodman, 7 T Young, 8 A Wainwright, 9 N Armstrong, 10 T De Beer, 11 R Dyer, 12 A Owen, 13 F Inisi, 14 D Richards, 15 A O'Brien.

Replacements:

16 E Dee, 17 R Jones, 18 C Coleman, 19 L Douglas, 20 H Keddie, 21 R WIlliams, 22 H Ackerman, 23 H Anderson.

Verdict

Scarlets v Dragons

Scarlets to maintain recent record against Dragons and tipped to cover the -6.5 handicap at home.

Scarlets -6.5

Handicap

@1,91 - 3 Units

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