Montpellier vs Pau Predictions - Montpellier to record another home win over Pau

Brad Newcomb

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Last updated: 3 hours ago

Brad Newcomb 3 hours ago

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Montpellier have won 15 consecutive home games.
Pau have lost 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Montpellier are tipped to cover the -11.5 handicap.

Montpellier are on a lengthy winning streak at home (Getty Images)

Montpellier were in fine form in the Top 14 last season, especially at home. Pau also performed well in their previous campaign, but their away form is lacking.

Montpellier have won 15 consecutive home games in all competitions.
Montpellier have won 5 consecutive home matches against Pau.
Pau have lost 6 of their last 7 away fixtures in all competitions.

Head to Head

Montpellier and Pau have won 11 matches apiece in 22 meetings.

Montpellier Form

Montpellier Hérault had a successful 2025/26 Top 14 season, finishing second in the standings to reach the semi-finals and qualifying for the European Rugby Champions Cup. They defeated Stade Francais 25-15 but lost 28-20 to Toulouse in the final.

Les Cistes placed 2nd in the French Rugby Championship standings with 82 points from 26 matches.

Montpellier defeated Stade Francais 44-7, Racing 92 41-17, Perpignan 42-31, Montauban 59-7, and Pau 26-18 in their last five home league games last season.

Montpellier Hérault have been in superb form at home in recent seasons, winning an impressive 15 consecutive games, and will start confidently against Pau, as their opponents have lost six of their last seven away fixtures.

Pau Form

Pau had an excellent 2025/26 Top 14 season, finishing third in the standings to qualify for the playoffs and the European Rugby Champions Cup. However, they lost 33-31 to Racing 92 in the league semi-final qualifier.

La Section finished 4th in the French Rugby Championship table with 78 points from 26 games.

Section Paloise lost 40-24 to Perpignan, 20-6 to La Rochelle, and defeated Bayonne 54-22 before losing 34-32 to Stade Francais and 26-18 to Montpellier in their final five away league matches last season.

Pau will be out to begin their new season with a victory over Montpellier; however, they have had no success against their opponents away from home in recent seasons, losing four consecutive fixtures.

Team News

Montpellier

Montpellier have acquired the following players for the upcoming 2026/27 Top 14 season: Sébastien Bézy, Adam Hastings, Ruben van Heerden, Dimitri Delibes, Reda Wardi, Mael Perrin, and Luca Tabarot.

Pau

Pau have added the following players to their roster for the 2026/27 Top 14 season: Rodrigo Marta, Baptiste Pesenti, Bastien Vergnes-Taillefer, Rémi Couty, Gonzalo Garcia, Joachim Senga Kouo, Santiago Grondona, Diego Miranda, and Alexander Etchebehere.

Verdict

Montpellier v Pau

Montpellier have an excellent home record against Pau and are tipped to cover the -11.5 handicap.

Montpellier -11.5

Handicap

@1,91 - 3 Units

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Brad graduated from the University of South Africa with a Bcom-Management Accounting degree and has a financial background.

His love of sport has seen him venture down the road of researching sporting history for the past several years, specifically boxing, cricket and football.

Other sports of particular interest are golf, tennis, horse racing and motorsports.

Additionally, he spends his time researching the military history of his home country of South Africa.

He is an ardent Liverpool supporter and is known to DJ and release music on occasion.