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Italy vs Chile Predictions - Italy to end Autunm Nations Series with a convincing win

ralph-staniforth
Editor
Last updated: 8 minutes ago

Italy is heavily favored to win their rugby match against Chile, with a point spread of -25.5 at home. Despite making 10 changes to their lineup, Italy aims to capitalize on their recent 26-19 victory over Australia. Conversely, Chile hasn't played recently but made a strong impression at the 2023 Rugby World Cup. With past losses and a new lineup, Italy seeks to build depth and secure a significant win, keeping them competitive in international rugby.

Ralph Staniforth 8 minutes ago
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  • Italy expected to cover -25.5 handicap at home.
  • Italy made 10 changes, confident after Australia win.
  • Chile strong in 2023 Rugby World Cup, now at full strength.
Italy Rugby
Italy set for comfortable win (Getty Images)

Italy vs Chile Predictions


Italy, despite making 10 changes, are huge favourites at home. I am backing them to cover the -25.5 handicap.
  • Italy vs Chile Predictions
  • Head to Head
  • Italy Form
  • Italy Injuries & Team News
  • Chile Form
  • Chile Injuries & Team News

  • Italy have lost 6 of their last 7 matches.
  • Italy beat Australia a fortnight ago.
  • Chile have not played a match recently.

Head to Head


These two sides have never met before.

Italy Form


Italy will be very confident heading into this fixture and will be looking for a convincing performance. Their improvement in recent years has been superb, beating top sides regularly.

The Italians only beat Wales in the 2025 Six Nations but were very competitive in most other games. In July, the Italians lost a two-match series in South Africa.

This November, Italy began with a stunning 26-19 win over Australia before losing out 32-14 to South Africa last weekend. The game was very close until the final 20 minutes when Italy failed to match the Springboks physicality. 

Italy Injuries & Team News


In an attempt to build some depth, Italy have made 10 changes to their side.

Chile Form


Chile surprised many with their strong showing at the 2023 Rugby World Cup and are certainly a side worth keeping an eye on in years to come. 

In 2024, Chile lost to Scotland by 41 points at home but beat Canada 44-14 and lost 20-17 to Netherlands. They also held Scotland A to a 19-17 defeat late last year.

Chile Injuries & Team News


Chile should be at full strength for this game.

Verdict

Italy are fancied on the -25.5 handicap at home.

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