Scotland vs Tonga Predictions - Scotland to thrash Tonga at Murrayfield

Ralph Staniforth

Editor

Last updated: 21 Nov 2025

Ralph Staniforth 21 Nov 2025

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Scotland leads Tonga head-to-head 5-1.
Scotland expected to cover a -41.5 handicap.
Recent mixed performances prompt strategic changes.

Expired

Scotland predicted to win big at home (Getty Images)

Scotland vs Tonga Predictions

Scotland need a win and are very likely to get it against Tonga. However, the performance is what matters, but they did score 85 points against the USA a few weeks back. My best bet is for Scotland to cover -41.5.

Scotland vs Tonga Predictions
Head to Head
Scotland Form
Scotland Injuries & Team News
Tonga Form
Tonga Injuries & Team News

Scotland have lost their last 2 matches.
Tonga have lost 2 of their last 3 matches.

Head to Head

Scotland lead 5-1 in their six matches against Tonga. The only Tonga win came in 2012 but in the last two matches the Scots have won by 25+ points.

Scotland Form

Scotland will be eager to close off this international window with a victory after losing their last two games.

After an 85-0 win over the USA, Scotland produced a stunning comeback against New Zealand, only for them to lose it in the final 10 minutes of the game.

Last weekend, it was Scotland who began brilliantly against Argentina, racing into a 21-0 lead. However, the Argentines were magnificent in the second half, scoring five tries to win 33-24 at Murrayfield.

Scotland Injuries & Team News

Gregor Townsend has come under scrutiny this week after two successive losses. Many are doubting his ability to take Scotland to the next level. We expect the coach to make some big changes this weekend to get some of the next generation players some game time.

Tonga Form

Tonga have not played since the Pacific Nations Cup where they confirmed their place at the 2027 Rugby World Cup.

Tonga beat Samoa before losing to Fiji. In the semi-final, Tonga suffered a 62-24 loss to Japan but defeated Canada 35-24 in the third-place playoff.

Tonga Injuries & Team News

Tonga will be up for the physical battle on Sunday but whether they can match the skill required is another story. Expect Tonga to put out their strongest side.

Verdict

Scotland v Tonga

Scotland set to cover 41.5 handicap at home.

Scotland -45.5

Handicap

@1,90 - 4 Units

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Ralph Staniforth is a South African sports journalist, editor and betting writer who has worked in sports media since 2012.

With a background in Sports Science, he has covered a wide range of sports and interviewed leading players and coaches across South African rugby, cricket and football.

His sports betting work covers both South African and international markets, combining his knowledge of sport with extensive experience analysing fixtures, teams, form and betting markets.

Ralph specialises in football and rugby, while also covering cricket, tennis and golf. His work includes match previews, betting tips, betting guides and broader analysis of the sports betting industry.

You can find more from Ralph at Muckrack and LinkedIn.