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Wales vs New Zealand Predictions - All Blacks to run Wales ragged in Cardiff
New Zealand is set to face Wales, with significant expectations despite making nine lineup changes. Historically, New Zealand has dominated the head-to-head encounters, winning the last 31 matches. In comparison, Wales has been struggling, losing 18 of their last 20 games. For this weekend's match, New Zealand remains the favorite with a 27.5-point handicap. Will Jordan is anticipated to continue his try-scoring streak, while the total match points are expected to exceed 59.5. New Zealand's performance, even with new players, could pose a formidable challenge for Wales.
- New Zealand has won the last 31 games against Wales.
- New Zealand is expected to cover a 27.5-point handicap.
- Will Jordan is likely to score multiple tries.
Expired
All Blacks to thrash Wales (Getty Images)
Wales vs New Zealand Predictions
Despite New Zealand making nine changes to their starting lineup, they are still massive favourites to win. The handicap is set at 27.5, a difference I think New Zealand will cover comfortably. It may also be worth looking at the match seeing over 59.5 points and Will Jordan to continue his try scoring feats.
- Wales vs New Zealand Predictions
- Head to Head
- Wales Form
- Wales Injuries & Team News
- New Zealand Form
- New Zealand Injuries & Team News
- Wales have lost 18 of their last 20 matches.
- New Zealand have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
- New Zealand have won their last 31 matches against Wales.
- New Zealand have scored 50+ points in their last 2 matches against Wales.
Head to Head
Wales and New Zealand have met on 35 occasions since 1905 with New Zealand leading 32-3. However, Wales last win over the All Blacks came in 1953 – they won three of the first four meetings against New Zealand.
The All Blacks have own the last 31 games between the two sides. They last met in 2022, a match the All Blacks won 55-23 at the Principality Stadium. The last two games between the sides – 2021 & 2022 – has seen New Zealand score 50+ points.
Wales Form
Wales rugby was won the dominant Northen Hemisphere forces just a few years ago. They reached the semi-final of the 2019 World Cup and won the Six Nations in 2021. Their fall from grace since then has been something to behold.
Since losing the 2023 Rugby World Cup quarter-final against Argentina, Wales have lost 18 of their 20 matches with both victories in that period coming in 2025 against Japan.
Last week, Wales were very fortunate to come away with a 24-23 home win against Japan, requiring a score after the clock had gone red to get over the line. While Japan are a much-improved side, they are hardly the quality of what New Zealand will bring on Saturday.
Wales Injuries & Team News
Steve Tandy has made several changes to his side to face the All Blacks on Saturday. Tom Rogers comes in for the suspended Josh Adams. Harri Deaves makes his debut on the side of the scrum.
New Zealand Form
New Zealand’s turbulent rein under Scott Robertson seems to have no end in sight. They have been inconsistent since the former Crusaders coach took charge after the 2023 Rugby World Cup.
However, what is poor for the All Blacks is still form other nations would be proud of. They lost out on the Rugby Champions on points difference to South Africa, which already shows that they have been far from horrific.
With a Grand Slam available on the end of year tour, New Zealand started well in Chicago, beating Ireland with a superb final 20 minutes. They followed that up with a win over Scotland after almost letting the game slip away in the second half.
Last weekend, unfortunately, the All Blacks came unstuck against an improving and inspired England side. After two early tries, England clawed their way back into the game throughout the first half and then took complete control in the second to win 33-19.
New Zealand Injuries & Team News
Scott Robertson has made 13 changes to his squad for this match. Will Jordan moves to win with Ruben Love starting at 15. Rieko Ioane is back in the 13 jersey with Anton Lienert-Brown in at 12. Damian McKenzie starts at flyhalf. There are numerous other changes, including a new-look bench.
Verdict
I am backing the All Blacks to cover the -26.5 handicap with Will Jordan to score multiple tries. This match could see over 59.5 points.
New Zealand -26.5
Handicap
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Match Points
Over 59.5
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Will Jordan
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