France vs Italy Predictions - Value on Italy in the handicap market vs France in the Six Nations

Ralph Staniforth

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Last updated: 1 hour ago

Ralph Staniforth 1 hour ago

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France have a strong record, winning 15 of the last 16 matches against Italy.
Italy shows potential after narrow defeats, notably drawing France in 2024.
France's form is remarkable, scoring big in recent Six Nations games.

France in dominant form (Getty Images)

France vs Italy Predictions

France are playing well at the moment and have a history of putting up big scores against Italy. However, this Italy side has plenty of quality and can generally stand firm against top opposition.

France vs Italy Predictions
Head to Head
France Form
Italy Form
France vs Italy Team News
France vs Italy Lineups

While France should win, I do feel Italy can comfortably get within the +27.5 handicap.

France have won their last 2 matches.
France beat Italy by 40+ points last season.
Italy drew against France in their last away encounter.

Head to Head

France have won 15 of their last 16 matches against Italy. Italy’s last win over France came in 2013.

In 2024, Italy took France to the brink, forcing a 13-13 draw. However, last season, in Italy, France thrashed them 73-24.

France Form

France have come flying out of the blocks in the Six Nations, cementing their tag as favourites. After winning the 2025 Six Nations, France are looking to defend their title.

In round one, France were utterly sublime, running in a 36-14 win against Ireland at home. It was a stellar first half performance, but the French took their foot off the gas in the second, which could have potentially saved Ireland embarrassment.

Last weekend, in round two, France had little trouble seeing off Wales 54-12 in Cardiff. It is hard to judge the French performance given how poor Wales currently are, but in the first half, France looked very, very good.

Italy Form

Italy continues to improve and upset far bigger sides. They are now a real threat who offer consistency rather than the one-off big performance.

In very wet conditions in Rome, Italy beat Scotland 18-15 in round one before traveling to Dublin in round two. Another very strong performance by Italy saw them get close against Ireland, losing 20-13.

It was a game that could easily have gone Italy’s way as they also had a try chalked off for a debatable forward pass.

France vs Italy Team News

Fabian Galthie has recalled both locks, Thibaud Flament and Emmanuel Meafou for this fixture, knowing what a physical threat Italy offers.

Danilo Fischetti has been named in the starting lineup for Italy in the front row.

France vs Italy Lineups

France: 15 Thomas Ramos, 14 Theo Attissogbe, 13 Emilien Gailleton, 12 Fabien Brau-Boirie, 11 Louis Bielle-Biarrey; 10 Matthieu Jalibert, 9 Antoine Dupont (captain), 8 Anthony Jelonch, 7 Oscar Jegou, 6 Francois Cros, 5 Emmanuel Meafou, 4 Thibaud Flament, 3 Dorian Aldegheri, 2 Julien Marchand, 1 Jean-Baptiste Gros.

Replacements: 16 Peato Mauvaka, 17 Rodrigue Neti, 18 Georges-Henri Colombe, 19 Charles Ollivon, 20 Mickael Guillard, 21 Lenni Nouchi, 22 Baptiste Serin, 23 Pierre-Louis Barassi.