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Italy vs Wales Predictions - Wales losing streak to stretch to 14 matches
Italy faces Wales in the upcoming Six Nations rugby match, with Italy having won two of their last three encounters against Wales. Italy is riding high on recent good form, highlighted by strong performances in the 2024 Six Nations and friendly matches. Meanwhile, Wales is enduring a rough patch, facing 13 consecutive defeats since their last win in the 2023 Rugby World Cup. With both teams seeking redemption, Wales has particular urgency to overcome financial and team management issues. Italy is favored to win, with few lineup changes expected.
- Italy has won 2 of the last 3 matches against Wales.
- Wales has experienced a tough patch, losing their last 13 matches.
- Italy backed to win at home against Wales, covering the handicap.
Expired

Italy to beat Wales in Six Nations (Getty Images)
Italy vs Wales Preview
Italy beat Wales last season during the Six Nations and the visitors have not won since the 2023 Rugby World Cup. I am backing Italy to take the win.
- Italy vs Wales Preview
- Head to Head
- Italy Form
- Italy Injuries & Team News
- Wales Form
- Wales Injuries & Team News
- Italy have won 2 of their last 3 matches against Wales.
- Wales have lost their last 13 matches.
- Wales lost 43-0 in their last match.
Head to Head
Two of the last three matches have gone Italy's win against Wales.
Italy Form
Italy had one of their best years in 2024, finishing the Six Nations with victories over Scotland and Wales and a draw against France.
When the Southern Hemisphere sides came to visit in November, Italy were very disappointing against Argentina but did bounce back to beat Georgia and put in a strong showing against the All Blacks.
The Italians will be disappointed with their result last weekend. They lost 31-19 in Scotland, not a terrible result, but it shows how much Italy have improved that they were disappointed as the win was there for the taking.
Italy Injuries & Team News
After last week’s defeat, I don’t see Italy making many changes to the side on home soil.
Wales Form
Wales need to find a way out of this terrible run. Their last victory in any game came during the 2023 Rugby World Cup. They lost all Six Nations games in 2024, two games in Australia in July and all their November internationals.
With 13 straight defeats, Warren Gatland must be feeling plenty of pressure at the helm. To add to that, there are many off-field issues, particularly around finance plaguing the nation.
Last week, Wales lost their Six Nations opener 43-0 to France away from home. There was very little to celebrate bar perhaps the Welsh scrum which did hold firm.
Wales Injuries & Team News
Gatland is likely to ring the changes within the Welsh side. He has a young squad and needs to find the balance and quality within the players at his disposal.
Verdict
Italy are backed to cover the -6.5 handicap against Wales.
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