La Rochelle vs Toulouse Predictions - La Rochelle to edge Toulouse in a must-win match

Brad Newcomb

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Last updated: 2 hours ago

Brad Newcomb 2 hours ago

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La Rochelle have won 3 straight league matches and 4 of their last 6 home games.
Toulouse are top of the table but have lost their last 3 visits to La Rochelle.
La Rochelle are tipped to cover the +2.5 handicap to keep playoff hopes alive.

La Rochelle are on a home winning streak against Toulouse (Getty Images)

La Rochelle have found form in recent outings and must win to keep their hopes of finishing inside the top six places alive to advance to the play-offs. Toulouse have lacked consistency on the road lately, and they are on a losing streak away to La Rochelle.

La Rochelle have won 3 consecutive fixtures (Top 14).
La Rochelle have won 4 of their last 6 home games (Top 14).
La Rochelle have won 3 consecutive home matches against Toulouse.
Toulouse have lost 4 of their last 7 away fixtures in all competitions.

Head to Head

Toulouse have the advantage with 21 victories to nine against La Rochelle, including one draw in 31 meetings.

La Rochelle Form

La Rochelle secured their third league win in a row last weekend, beating Racing 92 26-24 away from home after leading 17-13 at the break.

Les Maritimes have been in solid form at home in the French Rugby Championship this season. They defeated Clermont 34-16, Perpignan 31-8, Montauban 54-19, Racing 92 33-6, lost 19-17 to Castres, beat Bayonne 49-17, Toulon 66-0, and lost 44-24 to Lyon, 43-33 to Montpellier before defeating Pau 20-6 and Bordeaux 45-15.

Stade Rochelais are 9th in the Top 14 standings with 58 points from 23 matches.

La Rochelle have been performing well in the league lately, winning three consecutive games, and they have won four of their last six home fixtures. However, they are six points behind Bordeaux in sixth place in the table and must beat Toulouse to keep their chances of making the play-offs alive.

Toulouse Form

Toulouse were in fine form in the second half in their clash with rivals Toulon last weekend, winning 51-27 away from home after leading 24-20 at half-time.

Before that, Stade Toulousain have had mixed fortunes away from home in the Top 14 this season. They lost 44-14 to Montpellier, 40-26 to Bayonne, 30-26 to Pau, defeated Montauban 49-7, beat Lyon 41-19, lost 30-27 to Perpignan, beat Stade Francais 13-9, and lost 44-20 to Bordeaux before beating Castres 42-25.

Les Rouge et Noir are 1st in the Top 14 table with 82 points from 23 matches.

Toulouse produced a dominant performance in their previous fixture; however, they have struggled with consistency on the road recently, losing four of their seven games, and they have lost their last three visits to La Rochelle.

Team News

La Rochelle

Nolan La Garrec has scored 139 points for La Rochelle this season, including ten tries.

Dillyn Leyds, Jack Nowell, and Davit Niniashvili have scored seven tries each in this edition of the Top 14.

Toulouse

Thomas Ramos has scored 135 points for Toulouse this season.

Teddy Thomas has crossed the try line ten times during the 2025/26 French Rugby Championship.

Verdict

La Rochelle v Toulouse

La Rochelle have been in fine form at home in the Top 14 lately and are tipped to cover the +2.5 handicap in their crucial match against Toulouse.

La Rochelle +2.5

Handicap

@1.81 - 3 Units

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La Rochelle Win

Result

@2.20 - 2 Units

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