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Conference League Predictions - Round 3

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Last updated: 23 minutes ago

This week's football tips focus on four matches expected to be high-scoring, with Monaco and Panathinaikos also backed for wins. The selections include over 2.5 match goals in Getafe, over 3.5 match goals in FC Twente, and Panathinaikos to win with over 2.5 total goals. All picks are based on the expectation of open, attacking games likely to produce plenty of goals, with Monaco and Panathinaikos also favoured for outright victories alongside the goal-based markets.

Simon Lewis 23 minutes ago
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  • Brighton take on Getafe on the back of a season-defining win away to Man City.
  • Monaco are targeting a third straight win in the UEFA Conference League.
  • Twente host Pafos after a remarkable 9-0 league win on the weekend.
  • Panathinaikos look strong for a sixth win on the bounce as they face CSKA Sofia.
Brighton
Brighton pulled off great away win over Man City (Getty Images).

Conference League Predictions - Round 3


Getafe vs Brighton


Brighton head to Spain after beating Manchester City 1-0 away in an excellent response to their 2-0 league defeat at Liverpool. The Seagulls have collected four Conference League points after thrashing Kauno Zalgiris 4-0 before drawing 0-0 at Jablonec. 

Getafe's continental form is far less reassuring: they drew 1-1 at Craiova before conceding five goals to Lugano, but their morale was lifted by a 3-1 La Liga win over Sevilla as well as a 3-2 win in the Spanish cup. Getafe's porous recent defensive record points towards a match with plenty of goals but Brighton's measured away performances should make this a narrower call than the form might suggest.

Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland


Monaco have been far sharper in Europe than domestically in Ligue 1. They beat CSKA Sofia 2-1 and Freiburg 3-0 in the Conference League, but a 3-1 defeat to Paris FC and a 1-1 draw with Lille have highlighted their recent domestic struggles. 

Nordsjaelland are winless in their last five competitive fixtures, including a 3-2 defeat to Midtjylland, but they have scored twice in successive Conference League draws against Hearts and CSKA Sofia. Both sides carry goal threats but Monaco have the deeper squad with the ability to exploit an often generous Danish defence.

FC Twente vs Pafos FC


Twente come into Round 3 on a goal-scoring spree having beaten Excelsior 9-0 on Sunday, with Wout Weghorst hitting four goals. Prior to that rout they defeated AZ 2-0 and Lincoln Red Imps 4-1, with Thomas van den Belt scoring twice in Gibraltar. 

Pafos have drawn four of their last five matches including a 2-2 draw at Apollon Limassol and 1-1 against Riga, only to lose 3-1 at Atalanta. The visitors have conceded in six consecutive European outings but Twente must avoid complacency: Excelsior played almost the entire 9-0 game a man short and Weghorst has had a hamstring concern.

Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia


Panathinaikos are building serious momentum. Their last five competitive games include league wins over AEK Athens and Volos, a 5-1 win at Kairat and a 5-1 home success against Asteras Tripoli. Cyriel Dessers has led their goal threat while a 2-1 victory over Borac opened their Conference League campaign. 

CSKA Sofia drew 2-2 at Nordsjaelland after losing 2-1 to Monaco, but their domestic results since then include a win over Ludogorets and a goalless draw with Slavia Sofia. The home side look stronger but the match-result price alone is short, so a home win combined with three goals offers a better-value angle.

Verdict

All four of this week's picks are backed as goal heavy clashes, with Monaco and Panathinaikos also backed to secure match wins.
  
Best Bet1: Monaco Win Win & Over 2.5 Match Goals @1,82 at Sunbet - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Getafe Goals Over 2.5 Match Goals @1,87 at Pantherbet - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: FC Twente Goals Over 3.5 Match Goals @2,05 at 10bet - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Panathinaikos Win Win & Over 2.5 Total Goals @2,10 at Bet.co.za - 1 Unit
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Simon Lewis

Sports Editor • 20+ years betting experience

Simon is a talented sports writer in South Africa with a strong focus on cricket having played first-team level for UCT, including playing at two Universities Weeks.


From a young age Simon was an avid reader of cricket magazines and books, and went on to be Editor of The Googly, CricketScene SA and SA Cricket, in addition to being a Features Writer on SA Sports Illustrated. 

He has interviewed most of South Africa's premier cricketers and was the first writer to interview a teenaged Jacques Kallis.

Simon has also written about English and local football, rugby and cricket, in addition to major international tennis and golf stars and competitions.

You can follow more from Simon at Muckrack, X and LinkedIn.

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