Bournemouth vs Brighton Predictions - Home Edge in the Premier League

Ralph Staniforth

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Last updated: 27 Apr 2024

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Ralph Staniforth 27 Apr 2024

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Bournemouth vs Brighton tips for Sunday’s EPL match
The Cherries have won 3 of their last 4 home matches
Can the hosts upset the Seagulls again?

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Bournemouth have won 5 of their last 7 home matches against Brighton (Getty Images)

Bournemouth vs Brighton Preview

Bournemouth are on a long unbeaten run at the Vitality and often win on home turf. Brighton’s form has dipped severely and there is value on another Cherries home victory.

Bournemouth vs Brighton Preview
Head-to-Head
Bournemouth Form
Bournemouth Injuries & Team News
Brighton Form
Brighton Injuries & Team News

Bournemouth have won 3 of their last 4 home matches
Bournemouth have won 5 of their last 7 home matches against Brighton
Brighton have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches

Head-to-Head

Bournemouth have a 44-42 advantage against Brighton in 116 meetings with 29 draws.

Bournemouth Form

Bournemouth are comfortably in the Premier League’s mid-table on 45 points. The Cherries have moved up the standings following four wins in their last seven.

Bournemouth won three home matches in a row against Luton (4-3), Everton (2-1) and Crystal Palace (1-0). This spell was followed by losses at Luton (2-1) and Aston Villa (3-1) and a home draw with Man United (2-2).

The South coast side returned to winning ways on Wednesday at Wolves (1-0). Bournemouth dominated with 2.4 expected goals and Antoine Semenyo scored the winner after 36 minutes.

Bournemouth Injuries & Team News

Defender Milos Kerkez is suspended.

Midfield duo Marcus Tavernier and Romain Faivre are ruled out.

Defenders Ryan Fredericks and forward Luis Sinisterra are also out.

Brighton Form

Brighton have dropped into the Premier League’s bottom half after notching just one win in eight, losing four.

Roberto De Zerbi’s side are winless in five matches and have taken just two points in this streak. The Seagulls drew 1-1 at Burnley and were thrashed 4-0 at home by Man City in their last two.

Brighton were 3-0 down after 33 minutes against City and offered little response with 0.57 expected goals. De Zerbi’s outfit then conceded a fourth 30 minutes from time.

Brighton Injuries & Team News

Midfielders Solly March, Jack Hinshelwood, James Milner and Billy Gilmour are out.

Forward pair Evan Ferguson and Kaoru Mitoma are also ruled out.

Defensive duo Pervis Estupiñán and Tariq Lamptey are unavailable due to injury.

Verdict

Bournemouth v Brighton

Bournemouth are a decent side and have beaten some tough opponents at home. Brighton look fatigued, are missing several key players and the Cherries can take advantage.