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Champions League Predictions - 11 March 2026, Round of 16

Simon Lewis
Editor
Last updated: 10 Mar 2026

In the upcoming Champions League Round of 16, Arsenal are anticipated to continue their unbeaten away streak, while Bodo/Glimt's attacking form suggests a high-scoring home victory against Sporting CP. Chelsea are favored to triumph over a struggling PSG, and the matchup between Real Madrid and Manchester City is expected to be closely contested, with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet. Notably, Erling Haaland is likely to be impactful for Manchester City, aiming for multiple shots on target.

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Simon Lewis 10 Mar 2026
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  • Arsenal to break Bayer Leverkusen down away from home.
  • Goals to flow as giant-killers Bodo/Glimt test Sporting at home.
  • PSG to get rolled by rampant Chelsea.
  • Real Madrid to be put to the sword by Man City at home again.
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Bodo/Glimt vs Inter
Bodo/Glimt vs Inter (Getty Images).

Champions League Predictions, Round of 16


Bayer Leverkusen vs Arsenal


Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 11 games, winning 9 of them and netting 27 times. Bayer Leverkusen have won just 1 of their last 5 matches, scoring just once per match. Leverkusen have scored 1 goal or less in 5 of their last 10 home matches. 

Leverkusen haven’t lost at home in 6 matches, with 2 draws. Their defence is strong, securing 6 clean sheets in their last 8 games. Arsenal haven’t lost away in 13 matches, scoring 31 times, so I can’t see Leverkusen shutting them out. This sounds like a low-score draw loading. 

Bodo/Glimt vs Sporting CP


Bodo/Glimt are a team on fire, winning their last 7 matches and are unbeaten in 9. They have performed superbly in the Champions League, beating Manchester City, Atletico Madrid and Inter (home and away) in their last 4 matches in the tournament. 

Bodo have also scored 2 or more goals in each of their last 10 matches, so their confidence should be high and they should be on the attack. At home they have scored 30 goals in their last 10 matches. Sporting have also been winning and scoring plenty, so this looks like a 4-plus goal thriller. 

PSG v Chelsea


PSG have struggled in the Champions League in their last few matches. They lost to Sporting, drew at home to Newcastle and sneaked home 5-4 over two legs against Monaco. Their league form is good, although they took a 3-1 beating from Monaco at home in their last match.

Chelsea have won 7 of their last 9 away matches, losing twice to log-leaders Arsenal and scoring 27 times while conceding 11. In their last 15 matches they have lost only to Arsenal, so they are looking well organised and powerful. They should have the beating of PSG in the first leg.

Real Madrid vs Manchester City


Real Madrid are 4 points behind Barca in La Liga after losing back-to-back matches against Getafe and Osasuna. Madrid have lost 3 of their last 10 matches and 5 of their last 14. City are undefeated in 11 matches, winning 9 and are sitting in 2nd spot in the Premier League. 

City claimed a 2-1 away win over Madrid in their Champions League group stage match in December. Madrid won their next 7 home matches before their latest loss to Getafe. City have won 8 of their last 12 on the road. Haaland has 3 goals in 6 matches against Madrid, so I’m backing him to have 3 shots on target as City press hard for a first-leg advantage.

Verdict

Arsenal to remain strong on the road, Bodo/Glimt to keep scoring in first leg at home against Sporting.

PSG to go down to Chelsea, while Real Madrid and Manchester City to slug it out with both sides scoring.
     
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Simon Lewis

Sports Editor • 20+ years betting experience

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