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Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina Predictions - Sabalenka can win at Australian Open
Aryna Sabalenka enters the Australian Open semifinal against Elina Svitolina riding a 10-match winning streak without dropping a set, highlighting her dominance on hard courts. Svitolina, meanwhile, stunned Coco Gauff in her quarterfinal, showing exceptional form by controlling the match entirely. While both players bring high confidence and momentum, Sabalenka's proven track record at hard-court Slams gives her the upper hand. The match might stretch to three sets, reflecting the determination on both sides. Sabalenka aims to capitalize on her strong season start and finally secure the Australian Open title.
- Sabalenka on a perfect 10-match win streak, strong hard-court Slam record.
- Svitolina achieves her first Australian Open semifinal, defeating Coco Gauff.
- Despite form, Sabalenka's hard-court success may give her the edge.
Expired
Aryna Sabalenka reacts to defeating Iva Jovic in the quarter-final in Melbourne
(credit: Getty)
- Aryna Sabalenka is on a six-match winning streak in hard-court Slam semifinals.
- She has won 12 straight Grand Slam matches.
- Elina Svitolina is 0–3 in Slam semifinals.
- She has won three of her last four Slam matches vs top-5 players.
HTH - Aryna Sabalenka leads 5-1
| Year | Event | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Madrid WTA | Clay | SF | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 2024 | Cincinnati WTA | Hard | R16 | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 2024 | Rome WTA | Clay | R16 | Aryna Sabalenka | 4-6, 6-1, 7-6(7) |
| 2023 | French Open | Clay | QF | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 2020 | Strasbourg | Clay | SF | Elina Svitolina | 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 2018 | Wuhan | Hard | 2R | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4, 2-6, 6-1 |
Sabalenka Eyes Another Final
Aryna Sabalenka reached her fourth straight Australian Open semifinal after beating 18-year-old Iva Jovic, 6-3, 6-0, in 90 minutes, ending the teenager’s dream run with a composed display.
Sabalenka has now extended her perfect start to the season to 10 wins without dropping a set. Apart from a brief scare against Anastasia Potapova earlier in the tournament, she has barely been tested.
This latest win further underlines the case we laid out in our Australian Open women’s tournament preview, where Sabalenka was tipped as the outright favourite for the title. The world number one continues to justify that billing with her control, consistency, and physical dominance through the draw.
With this run, Sabalenka became only the third top seed in the last decade to reach the Australian Open semifinals without losing a set, after Serena Williams (2016) and Ash Barty (2022).
She enjoyed a similar dominant path in Melbourne last year but fell short in the final, losing a three-set battle to Madison Keys, denying her a third consecutive Australian Open title.
Sabalenka now owns a 7–6 record in Grand Slam semifinals and is on a six-match winning streak at this stage on hard courts. With form and confidence firmly on her side, she looks primed for another title push.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Belarus |
| Age | 27 (5 May 1998) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 1 |
| Career High | 1 (11 September 2023) |
| Elo Ranking | 1 (Rating: 2222) |
| Tour level titles | 22 |
Svitolina Silences Doubts
Elina Svitolina produced a stunning performance to defeat world No. 3 Coco Gauff 6-1, 6-2 and book her place in the Australian Open semifinals. It was her most dominant win of the tournament, giving the American no time to settle.
The Ukrainian controlled the match from start to finish and wrapped it up quickly with relentless pressure. This marks Svitolina’s first-ever Australian Open semifinal after three previous quarterfinal exits.
Like her opponent, Svitolina has not dropped a set throughout the tournament and now carries a 10-match winning streak. Her confidence has clearly carried over from recent weeks.
Notably, this is the first time she has defeated back-to-back top-10 players since the 2019 WTA Finals. It underlines just how sharp her level has been in Melbourne.
However, she enters the semifinal with a 0–3 record at this stage in Grand Slams, having lost all previous semifinal appearances in straight sets.
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Nationality | Ukraine |
| Age | 31 (12 September 1994) |
| Plays | Right-handed |
| World Ranking | 12 |
| Career High | 3 (11 September 2017) |
| Elo Ranking | 10 (Rating: 1994) |
| Tour level titles | 19 |
Verdict
Form and confidence are high on both sides, which should make this a demanding test. Still, Aryna Sabalenka’s proven dominance at hard-court majors tips the balance in her favor, even if it takes three sets to settle.
Sabalenka 2-1
Correct Score
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