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Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev Predictions - Zverev to challenge Alcaraz in Aus Open

John Eastwood

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Last updated: 28 Jan 2026

John Eastwood 28 Jan 2026

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Alcaraz vs Zverev: A 6-6 head-to-head record.
Expect a thrilling match likely to go beyond 3 sets.
Alcaraz remains the favorite to win.

Expired

Carlos Alcaraz will face Alexander Zverev in the 2026 Australian Open semi-finals (Getty)

Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev Preview

Alcaraz is the favourite but Zverev knows what it takes to beat the Spaniard. I am backing this match to at least go to four sets.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev Preview
Head to Head
Alcaraz Form
Zverev Form

The German is capable of winning a set in Melbourne, but stopping the World No.1 over 5 sets is a different story.

Head to Head

These two have met 12 times and each has won on six occasions.

Alcaraz Form

Carlos Alcaraz claimed eight titles last year, winning the French Open and US Open to reclaim the World No.1 spot from Jannik Sinner.

The Spaniard started the season with Samuel Lopez as his new coach following the departure of Juan Carlos Ferrero.

Alcaraz hasn’t dropped a set at the Australian Open, beginning with victories over Adam Walton, Yannick Hanfmann and Corentin Moutet. He won 68% of his 2nd serves and saved 1/2 break points in a 7-6 6-4 7-5 victory over Tommy Paul.

Zverev Form

Alexander Zverev has been a Top 3 player since September 2024 but is yet to win a Grand Slam. He remains a long way off Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz in the rankings.

The German had a mixed start to the season at the United Cup, beating Tallon Griekspoor 7-5 6-0 before a 6-3 6-4 defeat to Hubert Hurkacz.

Zverev didn’t do it easy at the Australian Open, getting past Gabriel Diallo, Alexandre Muller and Learner Tien in 4 sets. He was strong in the fourth round, saving 1/2 break points is a 6-2 6-4 6-4 victory over Francisco Cerundolo.

The 28-year-old defeated Learner Tien 6-3 6-7 6-1 7-6 in the quarter-finals, winning 65% of his 2nd serves and saving all three break points.

Verdict

Carlos Alcaraz v Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev has a respectable 6-6 record against Carlos Alcaraz and beat the Spaniard at the 2024 Australian Open.

I am backing the German to win a set but be unable to stop Alcaraz’s mission in Melbourne.

Alexander Zverev +2.5

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