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Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants Betting Preview, Odds & Predictions
The IPL clash between Mumbai Indians and Lucknow Super Giants sees two struggling teams fighting for pride as playoff hopes fade. Mumbai boast home advantage at Wankhede and are backed to win, despite recent injury setbacks. Star batsman Ryan Rickelton is tipped for the most sixes, while Jasprit Bumrah is likely to take under two wickets in a bat-dominated contest. Lucknow’s Nicholas Pooran is backed to underperform with the bat. With average 220+ scores expected and dew influencing the chase, Mumbai look set to edge out Lucknow.
- Mumbai Indians have almost lost any chance of picking up a record sixth IPL title, but they still have an outside chance of sneaking into the playoffs, but they need to hit a winning streak immediately.
- Lucknow Super Giants have not been competitive this season and look odds-on for the wooden spoon.
- Explore betting opportunities in handicaps, batters to Score Over/Under Runs, bowlers to Take Over/Under Wickets markets and Match Sixes.
Expired
Ryan Rickleton is in good form with the bat (Getty Images).
This Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants prediction preview looks ahead to the IPL group match played in India. The bottom two sides are both close to being out of the running for the playoffs, and their attentions will soon be switching to avoiding the wooden spoon.
- Match Details
- Recent Form
- Head-to-Head Record
- Team News
- Key Stats
- Match Analysis
- Betting Markets to Watch
- MarketOdds
With just one win between the two sides in their last 10 combined matches this is a vital match as it represents two points neither side can afford to give up to the other side. It’s also a chance to try and get back on the winning track.
Match Details
| Match | Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants |
|---|---|
| Competition | Indian Premier League |
| Date | 4 May 2026 |
| Time | 16:00 SAST |
| Venue | Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai, India |
Recent Form
| Team | Last 5 Matches |
|---|---|
| Mumbai Indians | LWLLL |
| Lucknow Super Giants | LLLLL |
Neither side look like they could buy a win, although Mumbai pulled a stunning 99-run victory out the bag against the Titans. They have lost seven of their last eight matches, mostly by large margins. The Super Giants won back-to-back matches against the Sunrisers and the Knight Riders but have lost their next five on the bounce.
Head-to-Head Record
| Season | Winner | Margin of victory | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Mumbai Indians | 54 runs | IPL |
| 2025 | Lucknow Super Giants | 12 runs | IPL |
| 2024 | Lucknow Super Giants | 18 runs | IPL |
| 2024 | Lucknow Super Giants | 4 wickets | IPL |
| 2023 | Mumbai Indians | 81 runs | IPL |
The Super Giants have dominated this fixture, winning six of their eight matches against the Mumbai Indians. Mumbai have posted the highest score in these matches (215), while the Super Giants made the lowest score (101).
Team News
Mumbai Indians: Rohit Sharma remains sidelined with his hamstring injury and is likely to be out for another three matches. Mitchell Santner is out for the rest of the season with a grade-3 ACL shoulder injury, but Proteas spinner Keshav Maharaj has been brought in as a replacement.
Possible XI: Hardik Pandya (c), Will Jacks, Ryan Rickelton, Suryakumar Yadav, Tilak Varma, Naman Dhir, AM Ghazanfar, Ashwani Kumar, Jasprit Bumrah, Trent Boult.
Lucknow Super Giants: Mohsin Khan took 5/23 in the Super Giants’ last match but is likely to miss the match against Mumbai through injury.
Possible XI: Rishabh Pant (c), Mitchell Marsh, Aiden Markram, Nicholas Pooran, Abdul Samad, Mukul Choudhary, M. Siddharth, Avesh Khan, Mohammed Shami, D. Singh Rathi, Prince Yadav.
Key Stats
- Mumbai Indians’ Ryan Rickelton has scored 37, 123* & 37 in his last 4 innings.
- Mumbai Indians’ Naman Dhir has scored 50, 45, 22 & 57 in his last 5 innings.
- Mumbai Indians’ AM Ghazanfar has taken 2/31, 2/17, 2/25 & 2/51 in 5 matches.
- Lucknow Super Giants’ Rishabh Pant has scored 43 & 42 in his last 3 innings.
- Lucknow Super Giants’ Aiden Markram has scored 30, 42 & 31 in his last 5 knocks.
- Lucknow Super Giants’ Prince Yadav has taken 3/32, 2/25 & 2/29 in 4 matches.
Match Analysis
The last match at the Wankhede was at the end of April, with the Sunrisers chasing down Mumbai’s target of 244 with six wickets and eight balls in hand. Mumbai hit 14 sixes in their innings, while the Sunrisers responded with 18 as they charged to the win.
The last five matches there have seen teams average scores of 221, with just five wickets falling per innings.
The pitch at the Wankhede Stadium offers plenty of scoring opportunities, and the short boundaries helps teams beef up their totals with plenty of fours and sixes.
No rain is expected and with temperatures touching 30°C there will be plenty of evening dew, so teams will want to chase rather than bowl second.
Betting Markets to Watch
Result
The Sunrisers are on a horror run of form while Mumbai were able to craft a massive win over the Titans. With home ground advantage I’m backing Mumbai to take the win.
Most Match Sixes
Ryan Rickelton hit five sixes in his last innings and eight in the previous match, which was at the Wankhede.
Score Over/Under Runs
Nicholas Pooran’s poor run of form continues, scoring 22 or under in all eight of his innings this season. His scores have been 8, 1, 13, 19, 1, 9, 22 and 9.
Take Over/Under Wickets
With the Wankhede seeing an average of just five wickets falling per innings this is a match to look at players taking under two wickets in the innings. Teams have been playing dangerman Jasprit Bumrah with great caution this season with the result that he has picked up just three wickets this season (1/15, 1/31 and 1/20), so he’s worth backing to take under two wickets for the 10th match in a row.
MarketOdds
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Mumbai Indians Win | 1.62 |
| Lucknow Super Giants Win | 2.15 |
| Match to go to a Super Over | 29.00 |
Verdict
Mumbai Indians are backed to win, with Jasprit Bumrah my pick to take under two wickets.
Ryan Rickelton is backed to hit the most sixes, while Nicholas Pooran is backed to score under 24 runs.
Ryan Rickelton is backed to hit the most sixes, while Nicholas Pooran is backed to score under 24 runs.
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