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Pakistan vs Sri Lanka 1st Test Predictions – red-hot Dinusha to deny Pakistan a home win

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Last updated: 22 minutes ago

Sri Lanka are tipped to win their fixture against Pakistan, with odds of 2.7 reflecting their prospects. Sonal Dinusha is expected to play a significant role, with a specific prediction of scoring 70 or more runs. Mohammad Abbas is also highlighted as a key player for Pakistan. The main recommendation is a Sri Lanka win, supported by the anticipated standout performances of Dinusha and Abbas.

Simon Lewis 22 minutes ago
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  • Pakistan lost their last Test series 3-0 to England.
  • Sri Lanka’s batter have been scoring heavily in Tests.
  • Can Sri Lanka’s batters maintain their form to deny Pakistan a fifth win in six Tests against the visitors?
Sonal Dinusha
Sonal Dinusha has 3 centuries in his last 4 Test innings (Getty Images).

Pakistan vs Sri Lanka Predictions


Pakistan have lost four of their last five Tests and look vulnerable against a Sri Lanka side that has been putting in some strong performances against quality opposition. 

  • Pakistan’s Shan Masood has scored 95, 82 & 22* in his last 5 knocks.
  • Pakistan’s Azan Awais has scores of 167, 34, 62, 29 & 50 in his last 8 innings.
  • Pakistan’s Mohammad Abbas took 4/73 & 5/57 in the 2nd Test vs England.
  • Pakistan have lost 4 of their last 5 Tests.
  • Sri Lanka’s Sonal Dinusha hit 100, 84, 103 & 103* in his last 4 Test knocks.
  • Sri Lanka’s Kamindu Mendis has scored 44, 62* & 131 in 5 innings.
  • Sri Lanka’s Asitha Fernando has figures of 4/31 & 4/106 in his last 2 Test innings.

Head-to-Head


Pakistan have won four and lost one of their last five Tests against Sri Lanka stretching back from 2023 to 2019.

Pakistan Form


After sharing the two-Test series 1-1 with the West Indies Pakistan lost 3-0 away to England. 

Babar Azam got back in form with 76 in the second innings of the 3rd Test and although he comes into the Test with a string of scores under 45 in all formats he averages 42.98 in Tests and is always worth backing to perform with the bat. Shan Masood has innings of 82 and 22* in his last two knocks and scored 95 in his last Test innings. 

Mohammad Abbas starred in the recent Test series against England and was his side’s Player of the Series with 13 wickets in the three Tests. Razaullah took 4/148 in the first innings of the 3rd Test against England.

Sri Lanka Form


Sri Lanka have just one win in their last five Tests, which was by an innings and 78 runs over Bangladesh. They have secured two draws in those five matches as well, so they are playing competitive cricket.

Sonal Dinusha has been in incredible form, racking up innings of 100, 84, 103 and 103* in the two Tests against India. He is averaging 86.57 in Tests after nine innings with three tons and two half-centuries. 

Sri Lanka’s Pasindu Sooriyabandara scored 80 & 92 in his last 2 Test innings while Kamindu Mendis has been in strong form in whiteball cricket, scoring 44, 62* and 131 in five innings. Asitha Fernando starred with the ball against India, picking up 2/63, 4/31 & 4/106 in India’s 3 innings in the series. 

Team News


Pakistan's revised squad features three uncapped fast-bowling and batting options alongside the returning Aamer Jamal. Sri Lanka have a more settled core, although Nissanka's absence is a significant setback.

Pakistan (possible XI): Azan Awais, Mohammad Taha, Babar Azam (c), Saud Shakeel, Salman Ali Agha, Muhammad Tayyab Arif, Mohammad Ghazi Ghori, Arafat Minhas, Aamer Jamal, Mohammad Abbas, Saqib Khan.

Sri Lanka (possible XI): Lahiru Udara, Pasindu Sooriyabandara, Dinesh Chandimal, Kusal Mendis (c), Kamindu Mendis, Dhananjaya de Silva, Sonal Dinusha, Prabath Jayasuriya, Asitha Fernando, Dilshan Madushanka, Lahiru Kumara.

Verdict

Sri Lanka are tipped to win at odds of 2.7, with Mohammad Abbas and Sonal Dinusha backed to star for their sides.
   
Best Bet1: Mohammad Abbas Take Over 4.5 Wickets @1,72 at Sunbet - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Sri Lanka Win Result @2,70 at Jabula Bets - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Sonal Dinusha Score 70+ Runs @2,90 at 10bet - 1 Unit
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Simon Lewis

Sports Editor • 20+ years betting experience

Simon is a talented sports writer in South Africa with a strong focus on cricket having played first-team level for UCT, including playing at two Universities Weeks.


From a young age Simon was an avid reader of cricket magazines and books, and went on to be Editor of The Googly, CricketScene SA and SA Cricket, in addition to being a Features Writer on SA Sports Illustrated. 

He has interviewed most of South Africa's premier cricketers and was the first writer to interview a teenaged Jacques Kallis.

Simon has also written about English and local football, rugby and cricket, in addition to major international tennis and golf stars and competitions.

You can follow more from Simon at Muckrack, X and LinkedIn.

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