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Bay of Plenty vs Northland Predictions - Bay of Plenty to secure a home win over Northland

Brad Newcomb

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Last updated: 06 Aug 2026

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Brad Newcomb 06 Aug 2026

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Bay of Plenty have defeated Northland in 4 of their last 5 home games.
Northland have struggled to beat Bay of Plenty in recent clashes.
Prediction: Bay of Plenty to cover the -10.5 point handicap.

Expired

Bay of Plenty have a solid home record against Northland (Getty Images)

Bay of Plenty lost their NPC season opener, but have often defeated Northland at home in recent clashes. Northland started their campaign with a victory, but have struggled to beat Bay of Plenty in recent seasons.

Bay of Plenty have won 4 of their last 6 fixtures.
Bay of Plenty have won 4 of their last 5 home matches against Northland.
Northland have won 2 of their last 5 away games.
Northland have lost 3 of their last 4 fixtures to Bay of Plenty.

Head to Head

Bay of Plenty have the advantage over Northland, with eight victories to five in 13 meetings in the National Provincial Championship.

Bay of Plenty Form

Bay of Plenty were outplayed in the first half against Waikato last weekend, conceding five converted tries to trail 35-0 at the break.

However, Bay of Plenty made a comeback in the second half, scoring four tries and three conversions, but lost 38-26 to Waikato away from home.

In 2024, the Bay of Plenty Steamers thumped Northland 53-13 at home in the NPC.

Bay of Plenty will be out to secure their first victory of the season in front of their fans when they host Northland this weekend, having won three of their last four clashes against their opponents.

Northland Form

Northland scored three converted tries in the first half against Manawatu last weekend, going into the break with a 21-14 lead.

Taniwha produced a solid second half, scoring three tries and two conversions to beat Manawatu 40-14 at home.

Northland will be pleased to have started their new NPC campaign with an excellent result, but will have to repeat that performance to get the better of Bay of Plenty, having lost four of their last five visits to their opponents' stadium.

Team News

Bay of Plenty Steamers

Veveni Lasaqa scored a brace against Waikato last weekend.

Cole Forbes contributed one try in the match.

Jason Robertson slotted two conversions, while Riley Hohepa landed one conversion.

Starting XV: Benet Kumeroa, Taine Kolose, Tevita Mafileo, Seuseu Naitoa Ah Kuoi (C), Jai Knight, Joe Johnston, Veveni Lasaqa, Nikora Broughton, Te Toiroa Tahuriorangi, Riley Hohepa, Joe Webber, Reon Paul, Tāmiro Armstrong, Cole Forbes, Jason Robertson

Replacements: Sione Tupou, Filipe Vakasiuola, Solomone Tukuafu, Reuben Palmer, Kalin Felise, Charlie Sinton, Lucas Cashmore, Regan Ware

Northland

Nathan Salmon and Brady Rush each crossed the try line twice in the match against Manawatu.

Rivez Reihana kicked over five conversions in the match.

Starting XV: Esile Fono, James Mullan, Marcel Renata, Josh Goodhue, Allan Craig, Rob Rush, Grady Forbes, Terrell Peita, Sam Nock, Rivez Reihana (C), Brady Rush, Hudson Creighton, Heremaia Murray, Nathan Salmon, Jordan Trainor

Replacements: Heath MacEwan, Olly Ryan, Daniel Botha, Lachie Hooper, Zac Shanks, Josh Renton, Jade Stewart, Reuben Stewart

Verdict

Bay of Plenty v Northland

Bay of Plenty have enjoyed regular success at home against Northland in recent seasons and are tipped to cover the -10.5 handicap.

Bay of Plenty

-10.5

@1,91 - 3 Units

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Brad graduated from the University of South Africa with a Bcom-Management Accounting degree and has a financial background.

His love of sport has seen him venture down the road of researching sporting history for the past several years, specifically boxing, cricket and football.

Other sports of particular interest are golf, tennis, horse racing and motorsports.

Additionally, he spends his time researching the military history of his home country of South Africa.

He is an ardent Liverpool supporter and is known to DJ and release music on occasion.