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England vs France Predictions - England can cause an upset at Twickenham

Marc Thomas
Editor
Last updated: 07 Feb 2025

The upcoming England vs France rugby showdown promises excitement despite England's recent performance struggles. England has lost 5 out of their last 6 matches but maintains a strong competitive edge, covering the +6.5 handicap in 7 of their last 9 matches. France, showcasing excellent form, is coming off a dominant win against Wales. Key changes, such as Fin Smith starting as flyhalf for England and Matthieu Jalibert taking the number 10 jersey for France due to Ntamack's absence, add intrigue. Betting odds favor France, but England could defy expectations.

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Marc Thomas 07 Feb 2025
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  • England has lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
  • France has won 8 of their last 9 matches, including a 43-0 win against Wales.
  • England can upset the odds against France.
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England rugby vs ireland
England can challenge France (Getty Images)

England vs France Preview


England have not had that many positive results over the last 12 months but their performances have warranted more. I am backing them to get within 6.5 points.
  • England vs France Preview
  • Head to Head
  • England Form
  • England Injuries & Team News
  • France Form
  • France Injuries & Team News

  • England have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
  • England have covered the +6.5 in 7 of their last 9 matches.
  • France have won their last 3 matches against England.
  • France have won 8 of their last 9 matches.

Head to Head


France have been victorious in their last three games against England. 

England Form


England are in a very strange period at the moment. After a few tough years, they have certainly started showing signs of improving over the last 18 months, however, results have not quite gone their way.

After a competitive showing in the 2024 Six Nations where the English ran France close in Paris and beat Ireland at home, they lost narrowly in New Zealand in two successive Test matches.

In the November internationals, England suffered close losses to New Zealand, Australia and South Africa before beating Japan. That trend continued last week in their 2025 Six Nations opener, losing 27-22 in Ireland.

England were very good in the first half and held a half-time lead. The hosts showed their quality in the second half, but England had more than enough about them to keep them in the conversation this season.

England Injuries & Team News


In a big call, Steve Borthwick has opted to give a start to flyhalf Fin Smith, moving regular flyhalf, Marcus Smith to fullback.

France Form


France were not at their best during the Six Nations last season, partly because Antoine du Pont didn’t feature. However, they were back close to their best during the November 2024 internationals where they beat Japan, New Zealand and Argentina.

Coming into the Six Nations, France were slight favourites for the title ahead of Ireland and they showed why last Friday, thrashing Wales 43-0 in Paris. While Wales have lost 13 on the bounce, it still took a very convincing performance from France to win that comfortably.

France Injuries & Team News


Matthieu Jalibert takes over the number 10 jersey with Romain Ntamack out after his red card last weekend. In the only other change, Damian Penaud returns to play at wing.

Verdict

I am backing England to get within the +6.5 handicap and perhaps upset the odds with a win.

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