Pau vs Racing 92 Predictions - Pau to see off Racing 92 and progress to the Top 14 semi-finals

Brad Newcomb

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Last updated: 1 hour ago

Brad Newcomb 1 hour ago

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Pau have won 13 consecutive Top 14 matches this season.
Racing 92 have lost 8 of 13 away matches in 2025/26.
Pau are tipped to cover -5.5 handicap and advance to the semi-finals.

Pau are unbeaten at home in the Top 14 this season (Getty Images)

Pau have been in fine form at home in the Top 14 this season, winning all their matches. Racing 92 have had little success on the road during their campaign, and they lost away to Pau earlier this season.

Pau have won 13 consecutive home games in the Top 14 this season.
Pau have won 3 of their last 4 home matches against Racing 92.
Racing 92 have lost 8 of their 13 away fixtures in the Top 14 this season.
Racing 92 lost by 10 points away to Pau earlier this season.

Head to Head

Racing 92 have the advantage with 13 victories to seven against Pau, including one draw in 21 meetings.

Pau defeated Racing 92 27-17 at home earlier this season.

Pau Form

Pau enjoyed an outstanding home campaign in the 2025/26 Top 14 season, culminating in a home quarter-final match for this season's knockout rounds.

Section Paloise finished 4th in the table with 78 points from 26 games. They won 17 matches and lost nine.

La Section have been in fine fettle at home in the French Rugby Championship this season. They beat Stade Francais 34-10, Lyon 40-15, Bayonne 47-24, Toulouse 30-26, Perpignan 27-23, La Rochelle 53-33, Montpellier 35-33, Toulon 32-12, Bordeaux 39-17, Racing 92 27-17, Castres 27-15, Clermont 24-19, and Montauban 71-35.

Pau have made their home ground a fortress this season, winning 13 consecutive times in the Top 14, giving them the edge to beat Racing 92 in their play-off match and advance to the semi-finals.

Racing 92 Form

Racing 92 secured a vital victory against the defending champions, Toulouse, on the final day of the regular season to secure a quarter-final place in this edition of the Top 14.

Les Racingmen placed 5th overall in the standings with 74 points from 26 matches. They won 16 matches, lost nine and drew one.

Les Ciel et Blanc have not had much success away from home in the French Rugby Championship this season. They lost 32-7 to Lyon, beat Perpignan 28-15, lost 20-16 to Castres, 45-21 to Toulon, 33-6 to La Rochelle, 48-24 to Toulouse, drew 20-20 with Stade Francais, lost 62-20 to Bordeaux, beat Bayonne 41-36, and lost 41-17 to Montpellier and 27-17 to Pau before defeating Montauban 59-10 and Clermont 41-13.

Racing 92 found some form during the latter stages of their campaign; however, their Achilles heel has been their inability to consistently win away from home, losing eight of their 13 fixtures, which could be their undoing when taking on Pau, as their hosts have yet to suffer a defeat at their stadium this season.

Team News

Pau

Joe Simmonds has scored 148 points for his club in the French Rugby Championship this season.

Gregoire Arfeuil has scored nine tries in this edition of the Top 14.

Racing 92

Gaël Fickou has reached an agreement to be released from his final-year contract with Racing 92 and has signed a two-year deal with Toulon ahead of next season.

Ugo Seunes has scored 160 points during the regular season.

Max Spring and Wilfried Hulleu have scored ten tries each in the 2025/26 Top 14 season.

Verdict

Pau v Racing 92

Pau have been in tremendous touch at home in the Top 14 this season and are tipped to cover -5.5 the handicap in their play-off match against Racing 92.