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Toulouse vs Montpellier Predictions - Toulouse set to win fourth straight Top 14 title

brad-newcomb
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Last updated: 26 Jun 2026

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Brad Newcomb 26 Jun 2026
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  • Toulouse have won 9 of their last 10 matches vs Montpellier.
  • Montpellier lost to Toulouse in their last meeting. 
  • Toulouse are favoured to cover the -13.5 handicap in the Top 14 final.
Toulouse
Toulouse have often defeated Montpellier in recent matches (Getty Images)

Toulouse vs Montpellier Predictions


Toulouse were in sublime form in their recent Top 14 semi-final match, and Montpellier have been performing well this season but have struggled to beat Toulouse in recent matches. 

  • Toulouse have won 19 of their 27 matches this season (Top 14).
  • Toulouse have won 9 of their last 10 games against Montpellier.
  • Montpellier suffered 6 defeats away from home this season (Top 14).
  • Montpellier lost by 16 points to Toulouse in their last meeting.  

Head to Head


Toulouse have a commanding lead of 27 victories to 14 against Montpellier in 41 meetings.

Toulouse Form 


Toulouse romped home in their Top 14 semi-final match against Racing 92 last weekend, winning 71-17 after leading 38-3 at half-time. 

Les Rouge et Noir have performed at their best at home in the French Rugby Championship this season. They defeated Perpignan 31-13, Castres 59-12, Bordeaux 56-13, Toulon 59-24, Stade Francais 29-17, Racing 92 48-24, La Rochelle 60-14, Pau 59-22, Bayonne 31-10, Montauban 68-13, and Montpellier 45-29, before losing 27-24 to Clermont and then beating Lyon 39-31.

Toulouse were at the top of their game in their recent semi-final victory and will fancy their chances of winning their fourth consecutive Top 14 title against Montpellier, having defeated their opponents in nine of their last ten clashes.

Montpellier Form 


Montpellier Hérault came out on top in a hard-fought Top 14 semi-final match against Stade Francais last weekend, winning 25-15 after leading 16-15 at the break. 

Les Cistes have shown improvement away from home in the French Rugby Championship during the latter stages of their campaign. They lost 26-23 to Bayonne, drew 22-22 with Montauban, lost 32-25 to Racing 92, 35-12 to Stade Francais, defeated Perpignan 28-0, lost 35-33 to Pau, 30-27 to Toulon, beat La Rochelle 43-33, Clermont 20-17, and lost 45-29 to Toulouse before defeating Bordeaux 23-21, Castres 36-33, and Lyon 28-25. 

Montpellier Hérault have been in great touch lately, often winning their league games; however, they have a poor record against Toulouse in recent years, and conceded 45 points to the defending champions in their last match. 

Team News


Toulouse

Thomas Ramos has scored 149 points in this edition of the Top 14. 

Teddy Thomas has scored 12 tries in the league this season. 

Montpellier

Hugo Miotti has scored 257 points in this edition of the Top 14.

Cristopher Tolofua has scored nine tries for Montpellier this season.

Verdict

Toulouse have a proven track record against Montpellier in recent clashes and are tipped to cover the -13.5 handicap in the 2025/26 Top 14 final.

Best Bet1: Toulouse -13.5 Handicap @1.91 at 10bet - 3 Units
Toulouse -13.5
Handicap
@1.91 - 3 Units

Bet at 10bet

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