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West Indies vs New Zealand 5th ODI Predictions - West Indies facing fourth defeat on the bounce

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Last updated: 20 Jul 2026

New Zealand is favored to win their upcoming match against the West Indies, with odds of 1.49. The focus is on star performers: Keacy Carty stands out as the best West Indies batter, while Mark Chapman leads for New Zealand. Gudakesh Motie is tipped to take over 1.5 wickets. Mitchell Santner is also expected to make an impact. The article recommends backing these key players and highlights New Zealand's advantage for fans and bettors.

Simon Lewis 20 Jul 2026
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  • The West Indies need a win to stay in the rankings to qualify for the 2027 World Cup.
  • New Zealand have been in stunning form to clinch the series with a match to play.
  • New Zealand are likely to give game time to some of their fringe players.
Keacy Carty
Keacy Carty has scored 95 & 48 in his last 4 knocks (Getty Images).
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West Indies vs New Zealand Predictions


The West Indies started the series with a win in the 1st ODI only to lose the following three ODIs to surrender the series. 

  • West Indies’ Keacy Carty has scored 95 & 48 in his last 4 knocks.
  • West Indies’ Ackeem Auguste has scores of 38, 26 & 33 in his last 4 innings.
  • West Indies’ Gudakesh Motie took 5/47 in the 4th ODI against New Zealand.
  • New Zealand’s Mark Chapman has scored 44, 27 & 80 in his last 5 matches.
  • New Zealand’s Will Young has scores of 49, 28, 23 & 20 in his last 4 innings.
  • New Zealand’s Mitchell Santner has taken 2/21, 2/15 & 2/36 in his last 3 matches.

Head-to-Head


New Zealand have won four and lost one of their last five ODIs against the West Indies, including winning the last three in a row.

West Indies Form


The West Indies will be looking for a stronger performance with the bat after being bowled out inside 50 overs in their last three ODI defeats to New Zealand.

Ackeem Auguste (33 off 50) and Amir Jangoo (51 off 73) were the only West Indies top order batters to score over 13. Gudakesh Motie weighed in with a vital 41 off 56 balls to lift the home side to 188 all out off 44.4 overs.

Matthew Forde (2/44) struck twice inside the first three overs to reduce New Zealand to 6/2. Gudakesh Motie knocked over three of the New Zealand top six and added another two wickets to return figures of 5/47. His efforts were in vain as New Zealand slipped home for the win with one wicket in hand off 44.1 overs. 

New Zealand Form


New Zealand will be full of confidence after recovering from 1-0 down to win three matches in a row. A fourth straight victory would leave them feeling very positive about their progress in the format ahead of next year’s World Cup.

Mitchell Santner (2/36), Matthew Fisher (3/40) and Michael Bracewell (2/35) bowled superbly to roll the West Indies for 188 off 44.4 overs.

Their batters were struggling at 46/3 inside 10 overs before Mark Chapman (80 off 82) got New Zealand back on track. He was well supported by Michael Bracewell (32 off 31) and Mitchell Santner (34* off 56), who gave them the legs to scrape home for a one-wicket win with five overs in hand.

Team news


With Sherfane Rutherford’s best score in the series sitting at just 22 not out, the West Indies may consider bringing Shimron Hetmyer into the middle order for his first ODI since June 2025. With the series already decided, it could be a good chance to test him. New Zealand may also rotate their lineup, with Ben Lister or Kristian Clarke possible options.

West Indies (possible XI): Ackeem Auguste, Justin Greaves, Keacy Carty, Shai Hope (c), Amir Jangoo, Sherfane Shimron Hetmyer, Matthew Forde, Gudakesh Motie, Alzarri Joseph, Jayden Seales, Vitel Lawes.

New Zealand (possible XI): Henry Nicholls, Will Young, Nick Kelly, Mark Chapman, Tom Latham, Michael Bracewell, Mitchell Santner (c), Nathan Smith, Jacob Duffy, Matthew Fisher, Jayden Lennox.

Verdict

New Zealand are tipped to win at odds of 1.49, with Keacy Carty, Gudakesh Motie, Mark Chapman and Mitchell Santner backed to star with bat and ball.
    
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