Australia vs Italy Predictions - Australia set to return to winning ways

Brad Newcomb

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Last updated: 1 hour ago

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Brad Newcomb 1 hour ago

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Australia have won 8 consecutive home games vs Italy.
Italy have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Australia is favoured to cover the -16.5 handicap.

Australia have an excellent record against Italy (Getty Images)

Australia have yet to win a match in the 2026 Nations Championship but historically have an excellent record against Italy. Italy are also winless in the competition.

Australia have won 3 of last 5 matches against Italy.
Australia have won 8 home games in a row against Italy.
Italy have lost 5 of their last 6 fixtures.

Head to Head

Australia have a commanding lead of 18 victories to two against Italy in 20 meetings.

Australia Form

Australia succumbed to their second consecutive defeat in the 2026 Nations Championship last weekend, losing 42-26 at home to France after leading 21-12 at the break.

Before that, Australia took on Ireland in their opening match, losing 33-31 to the Irish at home.

The Wallabies are in fifth place in the Southern Hemisphere table with three points from two games.

Australia will be disappointed to have let a first-half lead slip in their previous match, but will aim to bounce back against Italy, having often defeated their opponents on home soil.

Italy Form

Italy had no answer in their Nations Championship match against New Zealand last weekend, losing 47-17 away from home after trailing 14-10 at half-time.

Before that performance, the Azzurri lost their opening match against Japan, going down 27-10 away from home.

The Italians are last in the Northern Hemisphere standings with no points from two matches.

Italy have yet to get going in the Nations Championship, but have had success against Australia recently; however, they have not won in Australia, losing eight in a row to their opponents.

Team News

Australia

Fraser McReight scored a brace against France last weekend.

Brandon Paenga-Amosa and Jeremy Williams scored a try each in the match.

Ryan Lonergan slotted three conversions.

Forwards: Josh Nasser, Brandon Paenga-Amosa, Billy Pollard, Allan Alaalatoa, Angus Bell, Zane Nonggorr, Aidan Ross, James Slipper, Taniela Tupou, Miles Amatosero, Josh Canham, Lachlan Shaw, Jeremy Williams, Charlie Cale, Nick Champion de Crespigny, Tom Hooper, Fraser McReight, Carlo Tizzano, Rob Valetini, Harry Wilson

Backs: Ryan Lonergan, Tate McDermott, Kalani Thomas, Ben Donaldson, Carter Gordon, Declan Meredith, Josh Flook, Len Ikitau, Hunter Paisami, Joseph Sua'ali'i, Filipo Daugunu, Max Jorgensen, Dylan Pietsch, Harry Potter, Corey Toole, Jock Campbell, Tom Wright

Italy

Leonardo Marin and Tommaso Menoncello scored a try each against the All Blacks.

Tommaso Allan and Paolo Garbisi each kicked a conversion.

Forwards: Tommaso Di Bartolomeo, Pablo Dimcheff, Gianmarco Lucchesi, Danilo Fischetti, Muhamed Hasa, Ion Neculai, Marco Riccioni, Mirco Spagnolo, Niccolò Cannone, Riccardo Favretto, Alessandro Ortombina, Federico Ruzza, Andrea Zambonin, Lorenzo Cannone, Michele Lamaro, Giulio Marini, David Odiase, Ross Vintcent

Backs: Alessandro Fusco, Alessandro Garbisi, Stephen Varney, Tommaso Allan, Giacomo Da Re, Paolo Garbisi, Giulio Bertaccini, Ignacio Brex, Leonardo Marin, Tommaso Menoncello, Malik Faissal, Monty Ioane, Louis Lynagh, Paolo Odogwu, Lorenzo Pani

Verdict

Australia v Italy

Australia have often defeated Italy at home and are tipped to cover the -16.5 handicap in their Nations Championship match this weekend.

Australia -16.5

Handicap

@1.91 - 3 Units

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