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Samoa vs Hong Kong China Predictions - Samoa to see off Hong Kong China in Nations Cup encounter

brad-newcomb
Editor
Last updated: 03 Jul 2026

Samoa, fresh off qualifying for the 2027 Rugby World Cup, face Hong Kong China for the first time in a competitive match in the World Rugby Nations Cup. Samoa bring strong form, remaining unbeaten in their last three fixtures, while Hong Kong China recently won the Asia Rugby Championship but against less competitive teams. With Samoa boasting a deeper squad and recent top performances, they are clear favorites and are tipped to cover the -21.5 handicap. Expect a dominant display from Samoa in their opening Nations Cup fixture.

Brad Newcomb 03 Jul 2026
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  • Samoa recently qualified for the 2027 Rugby World Cup, unbeaten in last 3 matches.
  • Hong Kong China won the Asia Rugby Championship but face a much tougher opponent.
  • Samoa are favoured to cover the handicap. 
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Samoa
Samoa have been in solid form recently (Getty Images)

Samoa vs Hong Kong China Predictions


Samoa recently qualified for the 2027 Rugby World Cup after achieving solid results. Hong Kong China have had some success lately, but against lesser opposition.
 
  • Samoa have are undefeated in their last 3 matches. 
  • Samoa have qualified for the 2027 Rugby World Cup.
  • Hong Kong China have won 2 of their last 4 fixtures. 

Head to Head


Samoa and Hong Kong China will meet for the first time in a competitive match. 

Samoa Form 


Samoa recently secured their place at the Rugby World Cup in 2027 after going unbeaten at the Final Qualification Tournament in Dubai in November last year. 

Manu Samoa thumped Brazil 48-10 and beat Namibia 26-8 before drawing with Belgium in the final match.

At the 2025 Pacific Nations Cup, Samoa lost 30-16 to Tonga and 29-15 to Fiji during the group stages of the tournament, and then lost 29-13 to the USA in the fifth-place playoff match.

Samoa will fancy their chances of opening their World Rugby Nations Cup campaign with a victory against Hong Kong China after their recent performances, having gone unbeaten in their last three fixtures. 

Hong Kong China Form 


Hong Kong China won the recent Asia Rugby Championship in June after edging Sri Lanka 15-14 and thrashing South Korea 49-5.

Before that, the Dragons faced Portugal in an international friendly in November last year, losing 58-12.

Hong Kong China have been in decent nick lately, but will not find the going easy against Samoa, as their opponents recently qualified for the 2027 Rugby World Cup.

Team News 


Samoa

Forwards: Pita Anae Ah-Sue, Richie Asiata, Manaaki Boyle-Tiatia, Jarred Adams, Marco Fepulea'i, Titi Lamositele, Aki Seiuli, Jeffery Toomaga-Allen, Michael Curry, Ben Nee-Nee, Taeao Pomale-Time, Sam Slade, Niko Jones, Miracle Faiʻilagi, Iakopo Mapu, Alamanda Motuga, Abraham Papali'i

Backs: Ere Enari, Joel Lam, Connor Tupai, AJ Alatimu, Rodney Iona, D'Angelo Leuila, Faletoi Peni, Peter Umaga-Jensen, Elisapeta Alofipo, Va'a Apelu Maliko, Latrell Smiler-Ah Kiong, Taunu'u Niulevaea, Warren Solomona, Tuna Tuitama, Duncan Paia'aua

Hong Kong China

Forwards: Josh Hrstich (Captain), Sunia Fameitau, Rory Cinnamond, James Holmes, Calum Scott, Alexander Post, Harry Baron, Zacc Cinnamond, Keelan Chapman, Max Murphy, Lachlan Doheny, James Rivers, Kyle Sullivan, Tyler McNutt, Dana Fourie, Pierce Mackinlay-West, James Sawyer

Backs: Jack Combes, Chui Wai Lap, Eric, Brendon Nell, Joseph Barker, Matteo Avitabile, Isaac Campbell-Wu, Tom Hill, Marcus Ramage, Max Threlkeld, Harry Sayers, Seb Brien, Paul Altier, Matt Worley

Verdict

Samoa have been in solid form recently and are tipped to cover the -21.5 handicap in their Nations Cup match against Hong Kong China.
 

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