Scotland vs Australia Predictions - Scots backed to cover handicap at Murrayfield

Ralph Staniforth

Editor

Last updated: 2 hours ago

Ralph Staniforth 2 hours ago

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Scotland are tipped to cover the -7.5 handicap against Australia.
The Wallabies have conceded 138 points in their last three Tests.
Both teams' confirmed line-ups are still awaited.

Scotland can win at home against Wallabies (Getty Images)

Scotland vs Australia Predictions

The Wallabies have struggled defensively in recent Tests, while Scotland have enjoyed considerable success in this fixture at home. Scotland are backed to cover the -7.5 handicap.

Scotland vs Australia Predictions
Head-to-Head
Scotland Form
Australia Form
Team News

Scotland have won 4 of their last 5 Tests against Australia.
Scotland defeated Australia 27-13 in their most recent meeting in 2024.
Scotland have won 3 of their 4 Nations Championship matches against southern hemisphere opposition outside New Zealand and South Africa.
Scotland have scored 28 or more points in 4 of their last 6 Tests.
Australia have lost their last 3 Tests, conceding 138 points.
Australia have conceded at least 43 points in each of those 3 defeats.
Australia lost 45-22 against England last weekend.

Head-to-Head

Scotland have enjoyed an impressive recent record against Australia, winning four of the last five meetings.

The hosts have won three of their last four meetings with the Wallabies at Murrayfield.

Scotland Form

Scotland suffered a disappointing 43-21 defeat against New Zealand at Murrayfield last weekend, conceding six tries against the All Blacks.

However, Gregor Townsend's side have demonstrated considerable attacking ability throughout the year.

They defeated Argentina 47-38 and Fiji 33-17 during the July Nations Championship fixtures, while also producing a 50-40 victory over France in the Six Nations.

Their 42-28 defeat against South Africa in July was another example of their ability to score against elite opposition, although defensive weaknesses remain a concern.

Scotland have scored at least 28 points in four of their last six Tests, suggesting they have the attacking quality to exploit Australia's recent defensive problems.

Home advantage should also be significant, particularly against opponents who have struggled to contain the leading northern hemisphere sides.

Australia Form

Australia arrive in Edinburgh following three consecutive defeats, with their defensive performances becoming an increasing concern.

The Wallabies suffered a 45-22 defeat against England at Twickenham last weekend, having previously lost 43-21 and 50-19 against New Zealand.

They have conceded 138 points across those three matches, an average of 46 per game.

Their defeat against England was particularly disappointing, with the hosts establishing control early and repeatedly exposing Australia's defensive organisation.

The Wallabies have also struggled with instability in midfield, with injuries forcing regular changes to their centre combinations.

Isaac Henry has been ruled out of the remaining Nations Championship fixtures with a hamstring injury, although Carter Gordon, Tom Hooper and Brandon Paenga-Amosa are expected to be available for selection.

Australia remain dangerous in attack and demonstrated their potential with a 42-38 victory over South Africa in September. However, their recent defensive record makes another difficult afternoon a realistic possibility.

Team News

Australia will be without centre Isaac Henry, who suffered a hamstring injury against England. Carter Gordon, Tom Hooper and Brandon Paenga-Amosa have returned to training and could feature.

Both teams' confirmed matchday selections are still awaited.

Verdict

Scotland v Australia

Scotland are tipped to win by more than 7.5 points at Murrayfield.

Scotland -7.5

Handicap

@1,91 - 5 Units

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Ralph Staniforth is a South African sports journalist, editor and betting writer who has worked in sports media since 2012.

With a background in Sports Science, he has covered a wide range of sports and interviewed leading players and coaches across South African rugby, cricket and football.

His sports betting work covers both South African and international markets, combining his knowledge of sport with extensive experience analysing fixtures, teams, form and betting markets.

Ralph specialises in football and rugby, while also covering cricket, tennis and golf. His work includes match previews, betting tips, betting guides and broader analysis of the sports betting industry.

You can find more from Ralph at Muckrack and LinkedIn.