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Tunisia vs Libya Predictions - Value on BTTS in AFCON qualifier

Ralph Staniforth

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Last updated: 1 hour ago

Ralph Staniforth 1 hour ago

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Both teams to score is the main tip for Tunisia vs Libya.
Tunisia have conceded in 7 consecutive matches and scored in 4 straight.
Libya have scored in 2 of their last 3 matches and 2 of last 4 vs Tunisia.

Tunisia to win at home with goals at both ends (Getty Images)

Tunisia vs Libya Predictions

Tunisia host Libya in a crucial 2027 Africa Cup of Nations qualifier on Friday, with both sides still searching for their first victory in Group H. Tunisia are strong favourites, but their defensive struggles make the home win difficult to back at short odds.

Tunisia vs Libya Predictions
Head-to-Head
Tunisia Form
Libya Form

Tunisia are winless in their last 8 matches.
Tunisia have conceded in 7 consecutive matches.
Both teams have scored in Tunisia's last 4 matches.
Libya are winless in their last 5 matches.
Both teams have scored in 2 of Libya's last 3 matches.
Libya have scored in 2 of their last 4 meetings with Tunisia.

Head-to-Head

Tunisia have dominated recent meetings, winning their last 4 matches against Libya.

The teams last met in the 2023 AFCON qualifiers, when Tunisia won 3-0 at home and 1-0 away.

However, both teams scored in their previous 2 encounters, with Tunisia winning 5-2 away in 2021 and 4-1 at home in 2019.

Tunisia Form

Tunisia have endured a difficult year and are without a victory in 8 matches, including their opening 2 AFCON qualifiers.

They drew 1-1 at home against Uganda before surrendering another opportunity to claim 3 points in a 2-2 draw against Botswana.

Those results followed a disappointing World Cup campaign in which Tunisia lost all 3 group matches, conceding 12 goals against Sweden, Japan and the Netherlands.

Defensive problems have been particularly concerning, with Tunisia conceding in each of their last 7 matches. They have also conceded the opening goal in 6 of those fixtures.

Despite their poor results, Tunisia have scored in 4 consecutive matches, making another goal at home against Libya a reasonable expectation.

Libya Form

Libya have also struggled for results, going 5 matches without a victory.

They opened their AFCON qualifying campaign with a 2-2 home draw against Botswana, recovering from a 2-goal deficit to earn a point.

However, they failed to build on that comeback, losing 1-0 away against Uganda in their second qualifier.

Libya also drew 2-2 against Liberia in March, meaning both teams have scored in 2 of their last 3 matches.

Their inability to score against Uganda highlights the risk of backing goals at both ends, particularly against opponents who have historically dominated this fixture.

Nevertheless, Tunisia's recent defensive record gives Libya a realistic opportunity to find the net.

Verdict

Tunisia v Libya

Tunisia should be too good at home but they have been conceding goals of late. The best value for this fixture for me is BTTS Yes.

BTTS Yes

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Ralph Staniforth is a South African sports journalist, editor and betting writer who has worked in sports media since 2012.

With a background in Sports Science, he has covered a wide range of sports and interviewed leading players and coaches across South African rugby, cricket and football.

His sports betting work covers both South African and international markets, combining his knowledge of sport with extensive experience analysing fixtures, teams, form and betting markets.

Ralph specialises in football and rugby, while also covering cricket, tennis and golf. His work includes match previews, betting tips, betting guides and broader analysis of the sports betting industry.

You can find more from Ralph at Muckrack and LinkedIn.