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Morocco vs Niger Predictions - Under 2.5 Goals offers value

Ralph Staniforth

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Last updated: 17 minutes ago

Ralph Staniforth 17 minutes ago

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Under 2.5 Goals is tipped for Morocco vs Niger.
Morocco have won both qualifiers 2-0 and are missing key attackers.
Niger's two qualifiers have also finished under 2.5 goals.

Niger not enough quality (Getty images)

Morocco vs Niger Predictions

The Atlas Lions have won both qualifiers 2-0, while Niger have taken three points from their opening two matches. Morocco are overwhelming favourites, but their outright win odds offer little value. Under 2.5 Goals at 2.62 looks a more interesting selection.

Morocco vs Niger Predictions
Head-to-Head
Morocco Form
Niger Form

Morocco have won both AFCON qualifiers 2-0.
Morocco have kept 2 clean sheets in their opening 2 group matches.
Morocco have won their last 4 meetings with Niger.
Niger have scored 2 goals in their opening 2 AFCON qualifiers.
Niger's 2 qualifying matches have both finished Under 2.5 Goals.

Head-to-Head

Morocco have won their last four meetings with Niger, including both encounters during the 2026 World Cup qualifiers.

The Atlas Lions won 2-1 away in March 2025 before recording a comprehensive 5-0 home victory in September.

Their previous meetings were tighter, with Morocco winning 1-0 in a 2019 friendly and by the same scoreline at the 2012 Africa Cup of Nations.

Morocco Form

Morocco lead Group A with six points after winning their opening two qualifiers without conceding.

They defeated Gabon 2-0 at home before recording another 2-0 victory against Lesotho in September.

The Atlas Lions have been defensively impressive, although their attacking options are reduced for the November international window.

Coach Mohamed Ouahbi will be without Ayoub El Kaabi, Soufiane Rahimi, Ismaël Saibari and several other established players.

However, Youssef En-Nesyri returns to the squad, while Brahim Diaz and Achraf Hakimi are among the experienced players available.

Niger Form

Niger sit third in Group A with three points from their opening two matches.

They began qualification with a 2-1 victory over Lesotho before suffering a 2-0 defeat away to Gabon.

Coach Nabil Neghiz has selected a largely home-based squad for the two November encounters against Morocco.

Niger have struggled against stronger opposition, particularly away from home, and were beaten 5-0 in their most recent meeting with the Atlas Lions.

However, they restricted Morocco to a 2-1 victory in March 2025 and will hope to produce a more disciplined defensive performance this time.

Verdict

Morocco v Niger

Morocco should have sufficient quality to secure another victory, but their opening two qualifiers suggest they are capable of winning without producing a high-scoring contest.

I am backing this match to see under 2.5 goals and a home win.

Under 2.5 Goals

Total Goals

@2,62 - 3 Units

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Morocco Win 2-0

Correct Score

@4,50 - 1 Unit

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Ralph Staniforth is a South African sports journalist, editor and betting writer who has worked in sports media since 2012.

With a background in Sports Science, he has covered a wide range of sports and interviewed leading players and coaches across South African rugby, cricket and football.

His sports betting work covers both South African and international markets, combining his knowledge of sport with extensive experience analysing fixtures, teams, form and betting markets.

Ralph specialises in football and rugby, while also covering cricket, tennis and golf. His work includes match previews, betting tips, betting guides and broader analysis of the sports betting industry.

You can find more from Ralph at Muckrack and LinkedIn.