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Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Predictions - Barcelona to bounce back in Champions League 2nd leg

ralph-staniforth
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Last updated: 13 Apr 2026

Barcelona, despite a first-leg setback due to a red card, is set to turn the tables on Atletico Madrid in the second leg. Barcelona has had the upper hand this season, including a recent dominant performance over Espanyol which strengthened their La Liga lead. Atletico, despite a prior UCL win against Barcelona, has been struggling in La Liga. With Barcelona's consistent performance and tactical advantages, betting tips suggest a Barcelona win and highlight Lamine Yamal as a likely anytime goalscorer.

Ralph Staniforth 13 Apr 2026
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  • Barcelona aims to bounce back against Atletico in UCL 2nd leg.
  • Barcelona's recent form strong; Atletico struggles in La Liga.
  • Betting favors Barcelona win; Lamine Yamal to score.
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Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona
Atletico Madrid won the first tie 2-0 (Getty)

Barcelona have had the better of Atletico this season and can bounce back in the second leg after suffering a red card in the first leg.

  • Atletico Madrid have lost 4 of their last 5 matches. 
  • Atletico Madrid have lost 5 of their last 7 matches against Barcelona. 
  • Barcelona have won 9 of their last 11 matches. 
  • Barcelona’s Lamine Yamal has scored 3 goals in his last 4 matches (UCL). 

Head to Head


Barcelona and Atletico Madrid have met 251 times with Barca winning 115 times. Atletico have 79 victories along with 57 draws.

Atletico Madrid Form


Atletico Madrid gained a huge 2-0 advantage against Barcelona in the UCL quarterfinal last week in Catalunya. Julian Alvarez broke the deadlock with a stunning free-kick goal just before break, while the final score was set by Alexander Sorloth in second half. 

Diego Simeone’s side has been in disastrous form in La Liga recently though, currently on a three-game losing run. 

After losing 3-2 to Real Madrid and Barcelona 2-1, their negative streak resumed last weekend with a 2-1 loss at Sevilla, posting just 0.84 xG and firing two shots on target. 

They also had problems in the previous UCL round, losing the second tie to Tottenham 3-2 but advancing 7-5 on aggregate. 

Barcelona Form


Barcelona were the ones controlling the first tie against Atletico Madrid all until Pau Cubarsi was sent off in the 44th minute. They ended the match with 1.10-0.43 xG, 58% possession and 18-5 shots. 

Hansi Flick’s side returned to winning last weekend in the Catalan derby, beating Espanyol 4-1 where Ferran Torres scored a brace, Lamine Yamal registering two assists and one goal. 

After this round, their advantage over Real Madrid in the La Liga title race increased to nine points with just seven rounds left to be played. Barca secured 26 wins in 31 matches so far. 

Atletico Madrid vs Barcalona News & Predicted Lineups 


Atletico Madrid (4-4-2): Juan Musso, Nahuel Molina, Clement Lenglet, Robin Le Normand, Matteo Ruggeri, Giuliano Simeone, Marcos Llorente, Koke, Ademola Lookman, Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez

David Hancko, Johnny Cardoso and Pablo Barrios are likely to miss this clash due to injuries, while Jose Gimenez and Jan Oblak are doubtful. Marc Pubill is serving a one-game suspension.

Barcelona (4-2-3-1): Joan Garcia, Jules Kounde, Ronald Araujo, Eric Garcia, Joao Cancelo, Pedri, Frenkie de Jong, Lamine Yamal, Fermin Lopez, Marcus Rashford, Ferran Torres

Pau Cubarsi won't travel to Madrid due to suspension, Raphinha and Andreas Christensen missing the match due to injuries. Marc Bernal and Gerard Martin are doubtful.

Verdict

Even with Cubarsi sent off early, Barcelona dominated possession, had more shots and higher xG in the first tie last week. I will back them to bounce back and win in Madrid on Tuesday. 

Best Bet1: Barcelona Win Full-Time Result @1.85 at 10bet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Lamine Yamal Anytime Goalscorer @2.30 at Mzansibet - 1 Unit
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