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Waratahs vs Brumbies Predictions - Waratahs to see off the Brumbies in derby clash

Brad Newcomb

Editor

Last updated: 20 May 2026

Brad Newcomb 20 May 2026

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Waratahs have won 3 of last 4 against Brumbies, including this season.
Brumbies have lost 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Waratahs tipped to cover +2.5 handicap as both teams chase playoff spots.

Expired

The Waratahs defeated the Brumbies earlier in their Super Rugby campaign (Getty Images)

The Waratahs must win to close the points gap on the teams above them to keep their hopes of reaching the play-offs alive. The Brumbies must also secure a victory in the race for the play-offs, but they have had little success against their hosts in recent matchups.

Waratahs have won 3 of their last 4 matches against the Brumbies.
Waratahs defeated the Brumbies by 2 points earlier this season.
Brumbies have lost 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

Head to Head

The Brumbies have a commanding lead of 22 victories to 11 against the Waratahs in 33 meetings.

The Waratahs beat the Brumbies 30-28 away from home earlier this season.

Waratahs Form

The Waratahs defeated Fijian Drua 50-35 away from home last weekend after a dominant first-half display, leading 36-7 at the break.

The team from New South Wales has had mixed fortunes at home this season. They defeated the Reds 36-12, the Fijian Drua 36-13, lost 59-19 to the Hurricanes, 35-20 to the Blues, and beat Moana Pasifika 29-14 before losing 20-17 to the Western Force.

The Waratahs are 7th in the Super Rugby standings with 26 points from 12 games.

The Tahs gave their play-off chances a boost after their latest victory and must win again to close the gap on the Reds and the Brumbies in the race for the top six places.

Brumbies Form

The Brumbies secured vital play-off points when they hosted the Western Force recently, winning 32-15 at home after leading their opponents 14-10 at half-time.

The team from Canberra has been inconsistent away from home this season. They defeated the Western Force 56-24, and the Crusaders 50-24, lost 42-27 to the Fijian Drua, and then beat the Highlanders 14-10 before losing 45-12 to the Hurricanes and 30-21 to the Reds.

The Brumbies are 5th in the Super Rugby table with 29 points from 12 matches.

The ACT Brumbies must win to keep on track to make the play-offs, as they are only two points ahead of the Waratahs and one ahead of the Reds. However, they have not been at their best in recent outings, losing three of their last four fixtures, and they have lost three of their last four encounters with the Waratahs.

Starting Line-ups

Waratahs

Starting XV: Jack Barrett, Ioane Moananu, Dan Botha, Matt Philip (c), Miles Amatosero, Clem Halaholo, Charlie Gamble, Angus Scott-Young, Teddy Wilson, Jack Bowen, Sid Harvey, Lawson Creighton, Triston Reilly, Harry Potter, Max Jorgensen

Replacements: Oniti Finau, Isaac Kailea, Apolosi Ranawai, Ben Grant, Jamie Adamson, Michael McDonald, Jack Debreczeni, Joey Walton

Brumbies

Starting XV: James Slipper, Billy Pollard, Allan Alaalatoa, Cadeyrn Neville, Lachlan Shaw, Rob Valetini, Rory Scott, Toby Macpherson, Ryan Lonergan (c), Declan Meredith, Corey Toole, David Feliuai, Kadin Pritchard, Ollie Sapsford, Tom Wright

Replacements: Lachlan Lonergan, Blake Schoupp, Rhys van Nek, Nick Frost, Luke Reimer, Klayton Thorn, Tane Edmed, Andy Muirhead

Verdict

Waratahs v Brumbies

The Waratahs have enjoyed regular success against the Brumbies in recent seasons and are tipped to cover the +2.5 handicap.

Waratahs +2.5

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Brad graduated from the University of South Africa with a Bcom-Management Accounting degree and has a financial background.

His love of sport has seen him venture down the road of researching sporting history for the past several years, specifically boxing, cricket and football.

Other sports of particular interest are golf, tennis, horse racing and motorsports.

Additionally, he spends his time researching the military history of his home country of South Africa.

He is an ardent Liverpool supporter and is known to DJ and release music on occasion.