France vs Wales Predictions & Tips - France to beat the handicap against Wales in Paris

Ralph Staniforth

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Last updated: 19 Mar 2021

Ralph Staniforth 19 Mar 2021

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France vs Wales predictions for Saturday’s Six Nations game
The fixture is being played at 22:00 SAST at the Stade de France
France have won their last 2 meetings with Wales
I'm tipping France to win and keep the title within reach
Betting tips, predictions and team news for France vs Wales

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France vs Wales Predictions

France are a different class and are the favourites to beat Wales in Paris on Saturday night. Despite Wales’ good run of form, France will provide a much tougher challenge. My tip is for France to win by more than seven points and keep their title hopes well and truly alive.

France have won their last 2 matches against Wales.
France have covered the -7 handicap in their last 5 home matches.
Wales lost their last match to France by 17 points.

Head to Head

France and Wales are level at 3-3 over their last six matches.

France have, however, won their last two against Wales, including a 38-21 victory in Paris during the 2020 Autumn Nations Cup.

France Form

France are third on the Six Nations table with two victories from their three matches. The French have a game in hand against Scotland after a postponement in week three. There has not been confirmation of when that match will be played.

Regardless of that fixture, France must win against Wales to have a chance of winning the Six Nations title. They began their Six Nations campaign with an easy 50-10 victory in Italy.

That was followed by a hard fought 15-13 win against Ireland in Dublin. Thereafter COVID-19 struck the French squad which led to the Scotland postponement.

Last week France returned to action where they lost 23-20 against England at Twickenham. After leading for almost the entire match, France let it slip right at the end.

France Injuries & Team News

France are unchanged from last week’s defeat to England. Despite defeat, France performed well and should have too much quality at home against Wales.

Wales Form

Wales are in prime position to claim the 2021 Six Nations title against all odds. This after only winning one of their five matches last season, Wales are now four from four.

There has been plenty of fortune along the way for Wales. They beat Ireland 21-16 at home and Scotland 25-24 away on the opening two weekends. In both matches, Ireland and Scotland were the better side but received red cards which allowed Wales to get back into it.

Wales then produced a stunning performance to beat England 40-24 at home before seeing off Italy 48-7 last week in Rome. With 19 points, Wales are nine clear of France who have a game in hand.

Should Wales lose but get a bonus point for losing by seven or less, and France fail to get a four-try bonus point, the Welsh will be crowned champions.

Wales Injuries & Team News

Head coach, Wayne Pivac has made just the one change to Wales starting lineup. That change sees lock Adam Beard return from injury.

Tomas Williams returns to the bench from injury to provide scrumhalf cover for Gareth Davies.

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Verdict

France v Wales

France simply have to win if they are to win the Six Nations and need to do so by more than seven points. With the handicap set at seven points, I'm tipping the French to cover it against Wales in Paris.

France -7 Handicap

Handicap

@2,00 - 4 Units

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Ralph Staniforth is a South African sports journalist, editor and betting writer who has worked in sports media since 2012.

With a background in Sports Science, he has covered a wide range of sports and interviewed leading players and coaches across South African rugby, cricket and football.

His sports betting work covers both South African and international markets, combining his knowledge of sport with extensive experience analysing fixtures, teams, form and betting markets.

Ralph specialises in football and rugby, while also covering cricket, tennis and golf. His work includes match previews, betting tips, betting guides and broader analysis of the sports betting industry.

You can find more from Ralph at Muckrack and LinkedIn.