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France vs Sweden Predictions - Sweden defensive issues to cost them

John Eastwood

Editor

Last updated: 30 Jun 2026

John Eastwood 30 Jun 2026

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France scored 13 goals in last 4 matches; Sweden conceded 14 in 6.
Mbappé & Dembélé lead a full-strength French attack; Sweden miss key defender.
Prediction: France to control both halves and likely score multiple goals.

Expired

Kylian Mbappe scored 4 goals so far at the WC 2026 (Getty)

France vs Sweden Predictions

France have looked exceptionally good thus far and should have far too much firepower for a Swedish side lacking defensive qualities.

France vs Sweden Predictions
Head to Head
France Form
Sweden Form
France vs Sweden News & Predicted Lineups

France have scored 13 goals in their last 4 matches.
France have scored in both halves in 3 of their last 4 matches.
France have scored in both halves in their last match against Sweden.
Sweden have conceded 14 goals in their last 6 matches.

Head to Head

In 23 matches, there have been five draws, six Sweden wins and 12 victories for the French.

France Form

France’s confidence is going through the roof after securing three victories in the group phase. Their campaign started with a 3-1 win over Senegal where Kylian Mbappe netted a brace in the second half.

Les Bleus had zero problems in the second round against underdog Iraq 3-0, not allowing a single shot on target while posting 2.67 xG. Mbappe scored another brace here, Ousmane Dembele also on target.

Even without their head coach Didier Deschamps who had to miss third match due to personal reasons, France claimed another three points against Norway 4-1. Dembele stole the spotlight this time with his hat-trick, but its worth adding opposition played with reserve players to preserve fitness.

Sweden Form

Sweden looked impressive in their opening 5-1 victory against Tunisia, ending this match with 1.34-0.27 expected goals. Yasin Ayari was named man of the match scoring a brace, while Alexander Isak registered one goal and two assists.

They were completely outplayed in the second match by the Netherlands 5-1, Anthony Elanga scoring a consolation. The Swedes were agile and attackingly oriented here, firing 16 shots total but collapsed defensively.

Graham Potter’s side needed a point in the final round to clinch playoffs and that’s exactly what they got against Japan 1-1, Anthony Elanga scoring a beauty in the second half. The Asian side had more possession (52%) and higher xG (1.21-0.64) here.

France vs Sweden News & Predicted Lineups

France (4-2-3-1) Mike Maignan; Jules Kounde, Dayot Upamecano, William Saliba, Theo Hernandez; Aurelien Tchouameni, Manu Kone; Ousmane Dembele, Michael Olise, Desire Doue; Kylian Mbappe

France have no injury or suspension concerns ahead of this clash. Kylian Mbappe and Ousmane Dembele have scored four goals each so far, while Michael Olise registered three assists.

Sweden (3-4-3) Leopold Zetterstrom; Gustaf Lagerbielke, Victor Lindelof, Gabriel Gudmundsson; Alexander Bernhardsson, Yasin Ayari, Lucas Bergvall, Trey Stroud; Anthony Elanga, Alexander Isak, Viktor Gyokeres

Defender Isak Hien ruled out for the remainder of the tournament after suffering a hamstring injury against Japan. Alexander Isak has been the top contributor with one goal and three assists, while Yasin Ayari and Anthony Elanga bagged two goals each.

Verdict

France v Sweden

France have incredible attacking potential, which was clear throughout the group stage. I expect them to exploit Sweden’s leaky back line and control both halves of the match.

Kylian Mbappe’s goal-scoring hunger shines on the big stage, so I also expect him to get on the scoresheet.

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