La Liga Predictions - Round 11, Saturday

Simon Lewis

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Last updated: 20 minutes ago

Simon Lewis 20 minutes ago

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Atletico Madrid looking strong for a win with Levante to score.
Celta Vigo backed to beat Rayo Vallecano.
Goals to flow between Real Betis and Malaga.
Barcelona confident of a clean sheet win over Alavés.

It looks like a goal fest loading between Real Betis and Malaga (Getty Images).

Levante vs Atletico Madrid

Atletico arrive on a five-match league winning streak after a 1-0 victory against Deportivo La Coruna, with Julian Alvarez scoring the winner. They have also beaten Espanyol, Alaves and Real Madrid during that run, while Levante have won only one of their last five outings.

Levante lost 2-1 at Real Sociedad last weekend although they did defeat Athletic Club 3-1 in a rescheduled midweek game. The hosts have scored regularly enough to pose a threat but their defence has allowed openings but Atletico boast a more balanced side.

Diego Simeone's men look best equipped to win, even if an outright away victory is priced too short to be worth the squeeze.

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo

Rayo were comprehensively beaten 3-0 by Elche last weekend and have won only one of their last five in the league. They also drew with Getafe and Osasuna, leaving their attack under pressure to provide more. Celta are considerably more difficult to dismiss: unbeaten across their last five, they drew 0-0 with Real Betis after beating Alaves 2-1 and thrashing Racing Santander 5-0.

Celta's ability to control possession and produce goals in bursts makes them attractive outsiders at Vallecas. Rayo are capable of a response at home, but the away win offers a tempting reward at the available price.

Real Betis vs Málaga

Real Betis are fourth in the table, but their results have been mixed. A goalless draw with Celta followed a 5-2 loss to Barcelona, while a 5-2 win over Osasuna underlined what their attack can produce when it finds rhythm. Málaga remain rooted to the foot of the standings without a league victory in ten matches. Their latest results include a 1-1 draw with Alaves and a heavy 5-2 defeat against Real Sociedad.

Betis should dominate territory and chances at home, although their recent concessions make a clean sheet difficult to assume. The four-goal line is an interesting alternative to the short home-win odds.

Barcelona vs Alavés

Barcelona will seek an immediate answer to a 2-1 home defeat against Real Madrid in El Clasico. Before that loss they had recorded four straight victories, scoring five at Betis and three against Getafe. Barcelona lead La Liga after 10 rounds with 40 goals and boast an outstanding strike force.

Alaves occupy seventh spot in La Liga but have failed to win any of their last five league games, drawing 1-1 with Malaga most recently. Barcelona should control this match and generate sustained pressure, with Raphinha among the players to have scored against Madrid. However, the home-win price is exceptionally short and not a suitable standalone value bet under our house rule.

Verdict

Spanish La Liga

I'm backing a win for Celta Vigo, lots of goals between Real Betis and Malaga, a both teams to score win for Atletico Madrid and a win with a clean sheet for mighty Barcelona.

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Simon is a talented sports writer in South Africa with a strong focus on cricket having played first-team level for UCT, including playing at two Universities Weeks.

From a young age Simon was an avid reader of cricket magazines and books, and went on to be Editor of The Googly, CricketScene SA and SA Cricket, in addition to being a Features Writer on SA Sports Illustrated.

He has interviewed most of South Africa's premier cricketers and was the first writer to interview a teenaged Jacques Kallis.

Simon has also written about English and local football, rugby and cricket, in addition to major international tennis and golf stars and competitions.

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